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Compound Poisson process
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==Properties of the compound Poisson process== The [[expected value]] of a compound Poisson process can be calculated using a result known as [[Wald's equation]] as: :<math>\operatorname E(Y(t)) = \operatorname E(D_1 + \cdots + D_{N(t)}) = \operatorname E(N(t))\operatorname E(D_1) = \operatorname E(N(t)) \operatorname E(D) = \lambda t \operatorname E(D).</math> Making similar use of the [[law of total variance]], the [[variance]] can be calculated as: :<math> \begin{align} \operatorname{var}(Y(t)) &= \operatorname E(\operatorname{var}(Y(t)\mid N(t))) + \operatorname{var}(\operatorname E(Y(t)\mid N(t))) \\[5pt] &= \operatorname E(N(t)\operatorname{var}(D)) + \operatorname{var}(N(t) \operatorname E(D)) \\[5pt] &= \operatorname{var}(D) \operatorname E(N(t)) + \operatorname E(D)^2 \operatorname{var}(N(t)) \\[5pt] &= \operatorname{var}(D)\lambda t + \operatorname E(D)^2\lambda t \\[5pt] &= \lambda t(\operatorname{var}(D) + \operatorname E(D)^2) \\[5pt] &= \lambda t \operatorname E(D^2). \end{align} </math> Lastly, using the [[law of total probability]], the [[moment generating function]] can be given as follows: :<math>\Pr(Y(t)=i) = \sum_n \Pr(Y(t)=i\mid N(t)=n)\Pr(N(t)=n) </math> :<math> \begin{align} \operatorname E(e^{sY}) & = \sum_i e^{si} \Pr(Y(t)=i) \\[5pt] & = \sum_i e^{si} \sum_{n} \Pr(Y(t)=i\mid N(t)=n)\Pr(N(t)=n) \\[5pt] & = \sum_n \Pr(N(t)=n) \sum_i e^{si} \Pr(Y(t)=i\mid N(t)=n) \\[5pt] & = \sum_n \Pr(N(t)=n) \sum_i e^{si}\Pr(D_1 + D_2 + \cdots + D_n=i) \\[5pt] & = \sum_n \Pr(N(t)=n) M_D(s)^n \\[5pt] & = \sum_n \Pr(N(t)=n) e^{n\ln(M_D(s))} \\[5pt] & = M_{N(t)}(\ln(M_D(s))) \\[5pt] & = e^{\lambda t \left( M_D(s) - 1 \right) }. \end{align} </math>
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