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Dynamic Bayesian network
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== History == A dynamic Bayesian network (DBN) is often called a "two-timeslice" BN (2TBN) because it says that at any point in time T, the value of a variable can be calculated from the internal regressors and the immediate prior value (time T-1). DBNs were developed by [[Paul Dagum]] in the early 1990s at [[Stanford University]]'s Section on Medical Informatics.<ref> {{cite journal |url=http://research.microsoft.com/en-us/um/people/horvitz/dynamic_network_models_UAI_1992.pdf |author1=Paul Dagum |author-link=Paul Dagum |author2=Adam Galper |author2-link=Adam Galper |author3=Eric Horvitz |author3-link=Eric Horvitz |title=Dynamic Network Models for Forecasting |journal = Proceedings of the Eighth Conference on Uncertainty in Artificial Intelligence |date=1992|publisher=AUAI Press|pages=41–48}} </ref><ref> {{cite journal |url=http://research.microsoft.com/en-us/um/people/horvitz/FORECAST.HTM |author1=Paul Dagum |author-link=Paul Dagum |author2=Adam Galper |author2-link=Adam Galper |author3=Eric Horvitz |author3-link=Eric Horvitz |author4=Adam Seiver |author4-link=Adam Seiver |title=Uncertain Reasoning and Forecasting |journal = International Journal of Forecasting |volume=11 |issue=1 |date=1995 |pages=73–87 |doi=10.1016/0169-2070(94)02009-e|doi-access=free }} </ref> Dagum developed DBNs to unify and extend traditional linear [[State Space Model|state-space models]] such as [[Kalman filter]]s, linear and normal forecasting models such as [[ARMA model|ARMA]] and simple dependency models such as [[hidden Markov model]]s into a general probabilistic representation and inference mechanism for arbitrary nonlinear and non-normal time-dependent domains.<ref> {{cite journal |url=https://dslpitt.org/uai/papers/93/p64-dagum.pdf |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20150907230231/https://dslpitt.org/uai/papers/93/p64-dagum.pdf |url-status=usurped |archive-date=September 7, 2015 |author1=Paul Dagum |author-link=Paul Dagum |author2=Adam Galper |author2-link=Adam Galper |author3=Eric Horvitz |author3-link=Eric Horvitz |title=Temporal Probabilistic Reasoning: Dynamic Network Models for Forecasting |journal = Knowledge Systems Laboratory. Section on Medical Informatics, Stanford University |date=June 1991}} </ref><ref> {{cite journal |url=http://www-ksl.stanford.edu/KSL_Abstracts/KSL-91-64.html |author1=Paul Dagum |author-link=Paul Dagum |author2=Adam Galper |author2-link=Adam Galper |author3=Eric Horvitz |author3-link=Eric Horvitz |title=Forecasting Sleep Apnea with Dynamic Network Models |journal = Proceedings of the Ninth Conference on Uncertainty in Artificial Intelligence |date=1993|publisher=AUAI Press|pages=64–71}} </ref> Today, DBNs are common in [[robotics]], and have shown potential for a wide range of [[data mining]] applications. For example, they have been used in [[speech recognition]], [[digital forensics]], [[protein]] [[sequencing]], and [[bioinformatics]]. DBN is a generalization of [[hidden Markov models]] and [[Kalman filter]]s.<ref>{{cite book|author1=Stuart Russell|author-link=Stuart J. Russell|author2=Peter Norvig|author2-link=Peter Norvig|title=Artificial Intelligence: A Modern Approach|date=2010|publisher=[[Prentice Hall]]|isbn=978-0136042594|page=566|edition=Third|url=http://51lica.com/wp-content/uploads/2012/05/Artificial-Intelligence-A-Modern-Approach-3rd-Edition.pdf|accessdate=22 October 2014|quote='''dynamic Bayesian networks''' (which include hidden Markov models and Kalman filters as special cases)|url-status=dead|archiveurl=https://web.archive.org/web/20141020191456/http://51lica.com/wp-content/uploads/2012/05/Artificial-Intelligence-A-Modern-Approach-3rd-Edition.pdf|archivedate=20 October 2014}}</ref> DBNs are conceptually related to probabilistic Boolean networks<ref> {{cite journal |pmc=1847796 |author1=Harri Lähdesmäki |author-link=Harri Lähdesmäki |author2=Sampsa Hautaniemi |author2-link=Sampsa Hautaniemi |author3=Ilya Shmulevich |author3-link=Ilya Shmulevich |author4=Olli Yli-Harja |author4-link=Olli Yli-Harja |title=Relationships between probabilistic Boolean networks and dynamic Bayesian networks as models of gene regulatory networks |journal = Signal Processing |volume=86 |issue=4 |date=2006|pages=814–834|pmid=17415411 |doi=10.1016/j.sigpro.2005.06.008 }} </ref> and can, similarly, be used to model dynamical systems at steady-state.
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