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Saffir–Simpson scale
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==History== In 1971, the scale was developed by [[Civil engineering|civil engineer]] [[Herbert Saffir]] and meteorologist [[Robert Simpson (meteorologist)|Robert Simpson]], who at the time was director of the U.S. [[National Hurricane Center]] (NHC).<ref name="USA Today">{{cite news |author= Williams, Jack | title= Hurricane scale invented to communicate storm danger |work= [[USA Today]] |date= May 17, 2005 |access-date= February 25, 2007 | url= https://www.usatoday.com/weather/hurricane/whscale.htm}}</ref> In 1973, the scale was introduced to the general public,<ref name="Bridgeport Post">{{cite news |url= http://www.thehurricanearchive.com/Viewer.aspx?img=82937522_clean&firstvisit=true&src=search¤tResult=9¤tPage=50 |title='73, Hurricanes to be Graded |author=Staff writer |agency= Associated Press |date= May 9, 1973 |access-date= December 8, 2007 |url-status=dead |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20160519155007/http://thehurricanearchive.com/viewer.aspx?currentpage=50¤tresult=9&firstvisit=true&img=82937522_clean&src=search |archive-date= May 19, 2016 }}</ref> and saw widespread use after [[Neil Frank]] replaced Simpson at the helm of the NHC in 1974.<ref name="Simpson interview" /> The scale was created by Herbert Saffir, a [[Structural engineering|structural engineer]], who in 1969 was commissioned by the [[United Nations]] to study low-cost housing in hurricane-prone areas.<ref name=":0">{{cite news |url= https://news.google.com/newspapers?id=TTEfAAAAIBAJ&pg=2625%2C7395281 |archive-url= https://web.archive.org/web/20160417061701/https://news.google.com/newspapers?id=TTEfAAAAIBAJ&sjid=lccEAAAAIBAJ&pg=2625%2C7395281 |url-status= dead |archive-date= April 17, 2016 |title= Hurricanes shaped life of scale inventor |date=August 23, 2001 |author= Press Writer |access-date= March 20, 2016}}</ref> In 1971, while conducting the study, Saffir realized there was no simple scale for describing the likely effects of a hurricane.<ref name=":1">{{Cite journal |last1=Saffir |first1=Herbert S. |last2=P.e. |first2=F. Asce |date=1983-05-01 |title=Practical aspects of design for hurricane-resistant structures; wind loadings |url=https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/abs/pii/0167610583901046 |journal=Journal of Wind Engineering and Industrial Aerodynamics |volume=11 |issue=1 |pages=247–259 |doi=10.1016/0167-6105(83)90104-6 |bibcode=1983JWEIA..11..247S |issn=0167-6105 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20241006000000/https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/abs/pii/0167610583901046 |archive-date=2024-10-06}} [https://archive.org/details/0167-6105-2883-2990104-6 Alt URL]</ref> By using subjective damage-based scales for earthquake intensity like the [[Modified Mercalli intensity scale]] or [[Medvedev–Sponheuer–Karnik scale|MSK-64 intensity scale]] and the objective numerical gradation method of the [[Richter scale]] as models, he proposed a simplified 1–5 grading scale as a guide for areas that do not have hurricane building codes. The grades were based on two main factors: objective wind gust speeds sustaining for 2–3 seconds at an elevation of 9.2 meters, and subjective levels of structural damage.<ref name=":1" /><ref name=":2">{{UN doc|docid=ST/ESA/23|body=Secretariat, Department of Economic and Social Affairs|type=D|resolution_number=|document_number=|title=Low-cost construction resistant to earthquakes and hurricanes|date=31/12/1974|year=1974|language=English|pages=14-20;159-160}}</ref> {| class="wikitable" |+Proposed Hurricane Damage Scale (UN 1974)<ref name=":2" /> |'''Grade''' |'''Wind Speed Range''' |- |Grade 1 |120 - 140 km/h |- |Grade 2 |151-180 km/h |- |Grade 3 |181-210 km/h |- |Grade 4 |211-240 km/h |- |Grade 5 |241+ km/h |} Saffir gave the proposed scale to the NHC for their use, where Simpson changed the terminology from "grade" to "category", organized them by sustained wind speeds of 1 minute duration, and added [[storm surge]] height ranges, adding barometric pressure ranges later on. In 1975, the Saffir-Simpson Scale was first published publicly.<ref name="Simpson interview" /><ref name=":1" /><ref>{{Cite web |title=Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Scale (U.S. National Park Service) |url=https://www.nps.gov/articles/saffir-simpson-hurricane-scale.htm |access-date=2024-10-06 |website=www.nps.gov |language=en}}</ref> In 2009, the NHC eliminated pressure and storm surge ranges from the categories, transforming it into a pure wind scale, called the Saffir–Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale (Experimental) [SSHWS].<ref name="NHC SSHS">[http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutsshws.php The Saffir–Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale ''National Hurricane Center''. Accessed 2009-05-15.]</ref> The updated scale became operational on May 15, 2010.<ref>[http://www.ofcm.gov/nhop/10/pdf/2010%20NHOP%20entire%20document.pdf National Hurricane Operations Plan] {{webarchive|url=https://web.archive.org/web/20110708201653/http://www.ofcm.gov/nhop/10/pdf/2010%20NHOP%20entire%20document.pdf |date=July 8, 2011 }}, [[National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration|NOAA]]. Accessed July 3, 2010.</ref> The scale excludes flood ranges, [[storm surge]] estimations, rainfall, and location, which means a Category 2 hurricane that hits a major city will likely do far more cumulative damage than a Category 5 hurricane that hits a rural area.<ref name="LiveScience"/> The agency cited examples of hurricanes as reasons for removing "scientifically inaccurate" information, including [[Hurricane Katrina]] (2005) and [[Hurricane Ike]] (2008), which both had stronger than estimated storm surges, and [[Hurricane Charley]] (2004), which had weaker than estimated storm surge.<ref>{{cite web |url= http://www.weather.gov/infoservicechanges/sshws.pdf |title= Experimental Saffir–Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale |year= 2009 |publisher= National Hurricane Center |access-date= August 17, 2009 |archive-url= https://web.archive.org/web/20090806142811/http://www.weather.gov/infoservicechanges/sshws.pdf |archive-date= August 6, 2009 |url-status= dead }}</ref> Since being removed from the Saffir–Simpson hurricane wind scale, storm surge prediction and modeling is handled by computer numerical models such as [[ADCIRC]] and [[Sea, Lake, and Overland Surge from Hurricanes|SLOSH]]. In 2012, the NHC extended the wind speed range for Category 4 by 1 mph in both directions, to 130–156 mph, with corresponding changes in the other units (113–136 kn, 209–251 km/h), instead of 131–155 mph (114–135 kn, 210–249 km/h). The NHC and the [[Central Pacific Hurricane Center]] assign tropical cyclone intensities in 5 knot increments, and then convert to mph and km/h with a similar rounding for other reports. So an intensity of 115 kn is rated Category 4, but the conversion to miles per hour (132.3 mph) would round down to 130 mph, making it appear to be a Category 3 storm. Likewise, an intensity of 135 kn (~155 mph, and thus Category 4) is 250.02 km/h, which, according to the definition used before the change would be Category 5.<ref name="NHC SSHS" /> To resolve these issues, the NHC had been obliged to incorrectly report storms with wind speeds of 115 kn as 135 mph, and 135 kn as 245 km/h. The change in definition allows storms of 115 kn to be correctly rounded down to 130 mph, and storms of 135 kn to be correctly reported as 250 km/h, and still qualify as Category 4. Since the NHC had previously rounded incorrectly to keep storms in Category 4 in each unit of measure, the change does not affect the classification of storms from previous years.<ref name="NHC SSHS" /> The new scale became operational on May 15, 2012.<ref>[http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/news/20120301_pis_sshws.php Public Information Statement], [[National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration|NOAA]]. Accessed March 9, 2012.</ref>
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