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Climate variability and change
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==== Volcanism ==== [[File:Msu 1978-2010.jpg|thumb|left|upright=1.35|In atmospheric temperature from 1979 to 2010, determined by [[Microwave sounding unit|MSU]] [[NASA]] satellites, effects appear from [[aerosols]] released by major volcanic eruptions ([[El Chichón]] and [[Mount Pinatubo|Pinatubo]]). [[El Niño-Southern Oscillation|El Niño]] is a separate event, from ocean variability.]] The [[Volcano|volcanic eruptions]] considered to be large enough to affect the Earth's climate on a scale of more than 1 year are the ones that inject over 100,000 [[ton]]s of [[sulfur dioxide|SO<sub>2</sub>]] into the [[stratosphere]].<ref name="Miles-2004">{{cite journal | last1 = Miles | first1 = M.G. | last2 = Grainger | first2 = R.G. | last3 = Highwood | first3 = E.J. | title = The significance of volcanic eruption strength and frequency for climate | journal = Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society | date = 2004 | volume = 130 | pages = 2361–76 | issue = 602 | doi = 10.1256/qj.03.60 | bibcode = 2004QJRMS.130.2361M | s2cid = 53005926 }}</ref> This is due to the optical properties of SO<sub>2</sub> and sulfate aerosols, which strongly absorb or scatter solar radiation, creating a global layer of [[sulfuric acid]] haze.<ref>{{cite web | title = Volcanic Gases and Climate Change Overview | url = http://volcanoes.usgs.gov/hazards/gas/climate.php | website = usgs.gov | publisher = USGS | access-date = 31 July 2014 | archive-date = 29 July 2014 | archive-url = https://web.archive.org/web/20140729142333/http://volcanoes.usgs.gov/hazards/gas/climate.php | url-status = live }}</ref> On average, such eruptions occur several times per century, and cause cooling (by partially blocking the transmission of solar radiation to the Earth's surface) for a period of several years. Although volcanoes are technically part of the lithosphere, which itself is part of the climate system, the IPCC explicitly defines volcanism as an external forcing agent.<ref>[http://archive.ipcc.ch/publications_and_data/ar4/syr/en/annexes.html Annexes] {{Webarchive|url=https://web.archive.org/web/20190706041420/https://archive.ipcc.ch/publications_and_data/ar4/syr/en/annexes.html |date=6 July 2019 }}, in {{Harvnb|IPCC AR4 SYR|2008|p=58}}.</ref> Notable eruptions in the historical records are the [[1991 eruption of Mount Pinatubo]] which lowered global temperatures by about 0.5 °C (0.9 °F) for up to three years,<ref>{{cite web |url=http://pubs.usgs.gov/fs/1997/fs113-97/ |title=The Cataclysmic 1991 Eruption of Mount Pinatubo, Philippines |last=Diggles |first=Michael |date=28 February 2005 |work=U.S. Geological Survey Fact Sheet 113-97 |publisher=[[United States Geological Survey]] |access-date=8 October 2009 |archive-date=25 August 2013 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20130825233934/http://pubs.usgs.gov/fs/1997/fs113-97/ |url-status=live }}</ref><ref>{{cite web | last1 = Diggles | first1 = Michael | title = The Cataclysmic 1991 Eruption of Mount Pinatubo, Philippines | url = http://pubs.usgs.gov/fs/1997/fs113-97/ | website = usgs.gov | access-date = 31 July 2014 | archive-date = 25 August 2013 | archive-url = https://web.archive.org/web/20130825233934/http://pubs.usgs.gov/fs/1997/fs113-97/ | url-status = live }}</ref> and the [[1815 eruption of Mount Tambora]] causing the [[Year Without a Summer]].<ref>{{cite journal |doi=10.1191/0309133303pp379ra |title=Climatic, environmental and human consequences of the largest known historic eruption: Tambora volcano (Indonesia) 1815 |year=2003 |last1=Oppenheimer|first1=Clive |journal=Progress in Physical Geography |volume=27 |pages=230–59 |issue=2 |bibcode=2003PrPG...27..230O |s2cid=131663534 }}</ref> At a larger scale—a few times every 50 million to 100 million years—the eruption of [[large igneous province]]s brings large quantities of [[igneous rock]] from the [[mantle (geology)|mantle]] and [[lithosphere]] to the Earth's surface. Carbon dioxide in the rock is then released into the atmosphere.<ref>{{Cite journal|title=Deep Carbon and the Life Cycle of Large Igneous Provinces|last1=Black|first1=Benjamin A.|last2=Gibson|first2=Sally A.|date=2019|journal=Elements|doi=10.2138/gselements.15.5.319|volume=15|issue=5|pages=319–324|doi-access=free|bibcode=2019Eleme..15..319B }}</ref> <ref>{{cite journal |doi=10.1016/S0012-8252(00)00037-4 |title=Large igneous provinces and mass extinctions |year=2001 |last1=Wignall|first1=P |journal=Earth-Science Reviews |volume=53 |issue=1 |pages=1–33 |bibcode=2001ESRv...53....1W }}</ref> Small eruptions, with injections of less than 0.1 Mt of sulfur dioxide into the stratosphere, affect the atmosphere only subtly, as temperature changes are comparable with natural variability. However, because smaller eruptions occur at a much higher frequency, they too significantly affect Earth's atmosphere.<ref name="Miles-2004" /><ref name="Graf-1997">{{cite journal | last1 = Graf | first1 = H.-F. | last2 = Feichter | first2 = J. | last3 = Langmann | first3 = B. | title = Volcanic sulphur emissions: Estimates of source strength and its contribution to the global sulphate distribution | journal = Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres | date = 1997 | volume = 102 | issue = D9 | pages = 10727–38 | doi = 10.1029/96JD03265 | bibcode=1997JGR...10210727G | hdl = 21.11116/0000-0003-2CBB-A | hdl-access = free }}</ref>
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