Editing Predictability (section)

== In macroeconomics ==
Predictability in macroeconomics refers most frequently to the degree to which an economic model accurately reflects quarterly data and the degree to which one might successfully identify the internal propagation mechanisms of models. Examples of US macroeconomic series of interest include but are not limited to Consumption, Investment, Real GNP, and Capital Stock. Factors that are involved in the predictability of an economic system include the range of the forecast (is the forecast two years "out" or twenty) and the variability of estimates. Mathematical processes for assessing the predictability of macroeconomic trends are still in development.<ref>{{cite journal|last1=Diebold|first1=Francis X.|title= Measuring Predictability: Theory and Macroeconomic Applications|journal=Journal of Applied Econometrics|volume=16|issue=6|pages=657–669|jstor=2678520|year=2001|doi=10.1002/jae.619|s2cid=16040363|url=http://www.philadelphiafed.org/research-and-data/publications/working-papers/1997/wp97-23.pdf}}</ref>