Open main menu
Home
Random
Recent changes
Special pages
Community portal
Preferences
About Wikipedia
Disclaimers
Incubator escapee wiki
Search
User menu
Talk
Dark mode
Contributions
Create account
Log in
Editing
Technical analysis
(section)
Warning:
You are not logged in. Your IP address will be publicly visible if you make any edits. If you
log in
or
create an account
, your edits will be attributed to your username, along with other benefits.
Anti-spam check. Do
not
fill this in!
===Backtesting/Hindcasting=== [[File:Hindcasting.jpeg|200px|thumb|right|Temporal representation of hindcasting<ref>Taken from p.145 of [https://archive.org/details/TECA2004 Yeates, L.B., ''Thought Experimentation: A Cognitive Approach'', Graduate Diploma in Arts (By Research) dissertation, University of New South Wales, 2004.]</ref>]] Systematic trading is most often employed after testing an investment strategy on historic data. This is known as [[Backtesting#Hindcast|backtesting]] (or [[Thought experiment#Hindcasting|hindcasting]]). Backtesting is most often performed for technical indicators combined with volatility but can be applied to most investment strategies (e.g. fundamental analysis). While traditional backtesting was done by hand, this was usually only performed on human-selected stocks, and was thus prone to prior knowledge in stock selection. With the advent of computers, backtesting can be performed on entire exchanges over decades of historic data in very short amounts of time. The use of computers does have its drawbacks, being limited to algorithms that a computer can perform. Several trading strategies rely on human interpretation,<ref>{{harvp|Elder|1993|pp=54, 116β118}}</ref> and are unsuitable for computer processing.<ref>{{harvp|Elder|1993}}</ref> Only technical indicators which are entirely algorithmic can be programmed for computerized automated backtesting.
Edit summary
(Briefly describe your changes)
By publishing changes, you agree to the
Terms of Use
, and you irrevocably agree to release your contribution under the
CC BY-SA 4.0 License
and the
GFDL
. You agree that a hyperlink or URL is sufficient attribution under the Creative Commons license.
Cancel
Editing help
(opens in new window)