Open main menu
Home
Random
Recent changes
Special pages
Community portal
Preferences
About Wikipedia
Disclaimers
Incubator escapee wiki
Search
User menu
Talk
Dark mode
Contributions
Create account
Log in
Editing
Bayes' theorem
(section)
Warning:
You are not logged in. Your IP address will be publicly visible if you make any edits. If you
log in
or
create an account
, your edits will be attributed to your username, along with other benefits.
Anti-spam check. Do
not
fill this in!
===Bayesian interpretation=== In the [[Bayesian probability|Bayesian (or epistemological) interpretation]], probability measures a "degree of belief".{{cn|date=April 2025}} Bayes' theorem links the degree of belief in a proposition before and after accounting for evidence. For example, suppose it is believed with 50% certainty that a coin is twice as likely to land heads than tails. If the coin is flipped a number of times and the outcomes observed, that degree of belief will probably rise or fall, but might remain the same, depending on the results. For proposition ''A'' and evidence ''B'', * ''P''β(''A''), the ''prior'', is the initial degree of belief in ''A''. * ''P''β(''A'' | ''B''), the ''posterior'', is the degree of belief after incorporating news that ''B'' is true. * the quotient {{sfrac|''P''(''B'' {{!}} ''A'')|''P''(''B'')}} represents the support ''B'' provides for ''A''. For more on the application of Bayes' theorem under the Bayesian interpretation of probability, see [[Bayesian inference]].
Edit summary
(Briefly describe your changes)
By publishing changes, you agree to the
Terms of Use
, and you irrevocably agree to release your contribution under the
CC BY-SA 4.0 License
and the
GFDL
. You agree that a hyperlink or URL is sufficient attribution under the Creative Commons license.
Cancel
Editing help
(opens in new window)