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Decision theory
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== Further reading == {{refbegin|2}} * {{cite journal |author1=Akerlof, George A. |author2=Yellen, Janet L. |title=Rational Models of Irrational Behavior |journal=The American Economic Review |volume=77 |issue=2 |pages=137–142 |date=May 1987 |jstor=1805441}} * {{cite book |author=Anand, Paul |title=Foundations of Rational Choice Under Risk |publisher=Oxford University Press |location=Oxford |year=1993 |isbn=978-0-19-823303-9 |url-access=registration |url=https://archive.org/details/foundationsofrat00anan }} (''an overview of the philosophical foundations of key mathematical axioms in subjective expected utility theory – mainly normative'') * {{cite journal |author=Arthur, W. Brian |title=Designing Economic Agents that Act like Human Agents: A Behavioral Approach to Bounded Rationality |journal=The American Economic Review |volume=81 |issue=2 |pages=353–9 |date=May 1991|url=http://multiagent.martinsewell.com/Arth91.pdf}} * {{cite book | title = Statistical decision theory and Bayesian Analysis | first = James O. | last = Berger | author-link = James Berger (statistician) | year = 1985 | edition = 2nd | publisher = Springer-Verlag | location = New York | isbn = 978-0-387-96098-2 | mr = 0804611 }} * {{cite book | title = Bayesian Theory | author-link = José-Miguel Bernardo | last1 = Bernardo | first1 = José M. | author-link2 = Adrian Smith (academic) | last2 = Smith | first2 = Adrian F. M. | name-list-style = vanc | publisher = Wiley | year = 1994 | mr = 1274699 | isbn = 978-0-471-92416-6 }} * {{cite book |author1=Clemen, Robert |author2=Reilly, Terence |title=Making Hard Decisions with DecisionTools: An Introduction to Decision Analysis |publisher=Cengage|location=Stamford CT |year=2014 |edition=3rd |isbn=978-0-538-79757-3 }} ''(covers normative decision theory)'' * {{cite book| title=Decision-Making: An Experimental Approach| author=[[Donald Davidson (philosopher)|Donald Davidson]], [[Patrick Suppes]] and [[Sidney Siegel]]| publisher=[[Stanford University Press]]|year=1957}} * {{cite journal |author=de Finetti, Bruno |author-link=Bruno de Finetti |title=Probabilism: A Critical Essay on the Theory of Probability and on the Value of Science |journal=Erkenntnis |volume=31 |date=September 1989}} (translation of 1931 article) * {{cite journal |author=de Finetti, Bruno |title=La Prévision: ses lois logiques, ses sources subjectives |journal=Annales de l'Institut Henri Poincaré |year=1937}} * de Finetti, Bruno. "Foresight: its Logical Laws, Its Subjective Sources", (translation of the [http://www.numdam.org/item?id=AIHP_1937__7_1_1_0 1937 article] in French) in H. E. Kyburg and H. E. Smokler (eds), ''Studies in Subjective Probability,'' New York: Wiley, 1964. * de Finetti, Bruno. ''Theory of Probability'', (translation by [[AFM Smith]] of 1970 book) 2 volumes, New York: Wiley, 1974-5. * {{cite book |author=De Groot, Morris|author-link=Morris H. DeGroot|title= Optimal Statistical Decisions|publisher=Wiley Classics Library|year=2004 | isbn=0-471-68029-X}}(Originally published 1970) * {{cite book |author1=Goodwin, Paul |author2=Wright, George |title=Decision Analysis for Management Judgment |publisher=Wiley |location=Chichester |year=2004 |isbn=978-0-470-86108-0 |edition=3rd }} ''(covers both normative and descriptive theory)'' * {{cite web|author=Hansson, Sven Ove |title=Decision Theory: A Brief Introduction |url=http://www.infra.kth.se/~soh/decisiontheory.pdf |url-status=dead |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20060705052730/http://www.infra.kth.se/~soh/decisiontheory.pdf |archive-date=July 5, 2006 }} * Khemani, Karan, [https://papers.ssrn.com/soL3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=647666 Ignorance is Bliss: A study on how and why humans depend on recognition heuristics in social relationships, the equity markets and the brand market-place, thereby making successful decisions], 2005. * Klebanov, Lev. B., Svetlozat T. Rachev and Frank J. Fabozzi, eds. (2009). ''Non-Robust Models in Statistics'', New York: Nova Scientific Publishers, Inc. * {{cite book |author=Leach, Patrick |title=Why Can't You Just Give Me the Number? An Executive's Guide to Using Probabilistic Thinking to Manage Risk and to Make Better Decisions |publisher=Probabilistic |year=2006 |isbn=978-0-9647938-5-9 }} A rational presentation of probabilistic analysis. * {{cite journal | vauthors = Miller L | title = Cognitive risk-taking after frontal or temporal lobectomy--I. The synthesis of fragmented visual information | journal = Neuropsychologia | volume = 23 | issue = 3 | pages = 359–69 | year = 1985 | pmid = 4022303 | doi = 10.1016/0028-3932(85)90022-3 | s2cid = 45154180 }} * {{cite journal | vauthors = Miller L, Milner B | title = Cognitive risk-taking after frontal or temporal lobectomy--II. The synthesis of phonemic and semantic information | journal = Neuropsychologia | volume = 23 | issue = 3 | pages = 371–9 | year = 1985 | pmid = 4022304 | doi = 10.1016/0028-3932(85)90023-5 | s2cid = 31082509 }} * {{cite book|author=Morgenstern, Oskar|year=1976|publisher=New York University Press|chapter=Some Reflections on Utility|pages=65–70|title=Selected Economic Writings of Oskar Morgenstern|editor=Andrew Schotter|isbn=978-0-8147-7771-8}} * {{cite journal | last = North | first = D.W. | title = A tutorial introduction to decision theory | journal = IEEE Transactions on Systems Science and Cybernetics | volume = 4 | issue = 3 | year = 1968 | pages = 200–210 | doi = 10.1109/TSSC.1968.300114 | citeseerx = 10.1.1.352.8089 }} Reprinted in Shafer & Pearl. ''(also about normative decision theory)'' * {{cite journal| author=[[Peirce, Charles Sanders]] and [[Joseph Jastrow]]|year=1885|url=http://psychclassics.yorku.ca/Peirce/small-diffs.htm|title=On Small Differences in Sensation| journal=Memoirs of the National Academy of Sciences|volume=3|pages=73–83}} http://psychclassics.yorku.ca/Peirce/small-diffs.htm * {{cite book |author=Peterson, Martin |title=An Introduction to Decision Theory |publisher=Cambridge University Press |year=2009 |isbn=978-0-521-71654-3 }} * {{cite book|author=Pfanzagl, J|year=1967|publisher=Princeton University Press|chapter=Subjective Probability Derived from the [[Oskar Morgenstern|Morgenstern]]-[[John von Neumann|von Neumann]] [[Expected utility|Utility Theory]]|pages=[https://archive.org/details/essaysinmathemat0000shub/page/237 237–251]|title=Essays in Mathematical Economics In Honor of Oskar Morgenstern|url=https://archive.org/details/essaysinmathemat0000shub|url-access=registration|editor=[[Martin Shubik]] }} * {{cite book|author=Pfanzagl, J. in cooperation with V. Baumann and H. Huber|year=1968|publisher=Wiley|chapter=Events, Utility and Subjective Probability|pages=195–220|title=Theory of Measurement}} * {{cite book |author=Raiffa, Howard |title=Decision Analysis: Introductory Lectures on Choices Under Uncertainty |publisher=McGraw Hill |year=1997 |isbn=978-0-07-052579-5 }} * [[Frank P. Ramsey|Ramsey, Frank Plumpton]]; "Truth and Probability" ([https://web.archive.org/web/20030605070939/http://cepa.newschool.edu/het/texts/ramsey/ramsess.pdf PDF]), Chapter VII in ''The Foundations of Mathematics and other Logical Essays'' (1931). * {{cite book | last = Robert | first = Christian | title = The Bayesian Choice | publisher = Springer | location = New York | year = 2007 | edition = 2nd | doi = 10.1007/0-387-71599-1 | isbn = 978-0-387-95231-4 | mr = 1835885 | series = Springer Texts in Statistics }} * {{cite book |editor1=Shafer, Glenn |editor2=Pearl, Judea |title=Readings in uncertain reasoning |url=https://archive.org/details/readingsinuncert00shaf |url-access=registration |publisher=Morgan Kaufmann |location=San Mateo, CA |year=1990 |isbn=9781558601253 }} * {{cite book |author=Smith, J.Q. |title=Decision Analysis: A Bayesian Approach |publisher=Chapman and Hall |year=1988 |isbn=978-0-412-27520-3 }} {{refend}} {{Decision theory}} {{Decision theory paradoxes}} {{Industrial and applied mathematics}} {{Cybernetics}} {{Economics}} {{Authority control}} [[Category:Decision theory| ]] [[Category:Statistical inference]] [[Category:Risk]] [[Category:Control theory]] [[Category:Formal sciences]] [[Category:Epistemology of science]] [[Category:Mathematical and quantitative methods (economics)]]
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