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Earthquake prediction
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==== Nowcasting ==== {{Other uses|Nowcasting (disambiguation){{!}}Nowcasting}} Earthquake ''nowcasting'', suggested in 2016<ref name=":7">{{Harvnb|Rundle|Turcotte|Donnellan|Ludwig|2016}}</ref><ref>{{Harvnb|Rundle|Giguere|Turcotte|Crutchfield|2019}}</ref> is the estimate of the current dynamic state of a seismological system, based on [[natural time analysis|natural time]] introduced in 2001.<ref>{{Harvnb|Varotsos|Sarlis|Skordas|2001}}</ref> It differs from forecasting which aims to estimate the probability of a future event<ref name=":8">{{Harvnb|Rundle|Luginbuhl|Giguere|Turcotte|2018b}}</ref> but it is also considered a potential base for forecasting.<ref name=":7"/><ref name=":9">{{Harvnb|Luginbuhl|Rundle|Turcotte|2019}}</ref> Nowcasting calculations produce the "earthquake potential score", an estimation of the current level of seismic progress.<ref>{{Harvnb|Pasari|2019}}</ref> Typical applications are: great global earthquakes and tsunamis,<ref>{{Harvnb|Rundle|Luginbuhl|Khapikova|Turcotte|2020}}</ref> aftershocks and induced seismicity,<ref name=":9"/><ref>{{Harvnb|Luginbuhl|Rundle|Hawkins|Turcotte|2018}}</ref> induced seismicity at gas fields,<ref>{{Harvnb|Luginbuhl|Rundle|Turcotte|2018b}}</ref> seismic risk to global megacities,<ref name=":8"/> studying of clustering of large global earthquakes,<ref>{{Harvnb|Luginbuhl|Rundle|Turcotte|2018a}}</ref> etc.
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