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Marginal seat
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===Australia=== The [[Australian Electoral Commission]] defines seat margins as follows:<ref>{{cite web|url=http://www.aec.gov.au/FAQs/Elections.htm|title=Elections β Frequently Asked Questions|publisher=Australian Electoral Commission}}</ref><ref>{{cite web|url=http://www.aec.gov.au/Elections/australian_electoral_system/files/jscem/1998_election/sub88.pdf|title=Submission to the Joint Standing Committee on Electoral Matters: The Conduct of the 1998 Federal Election|publisher=Australian Electoral Commission|date=12 March 1999}}</ref> {| class="wikitable" |- ! Winning [[Two-party-preferred vote|2PP vote]] ! Margin ! Classification |- | 50 to 56% | 0 to 6% | Marginal |- | 56 to 60% | 6 to 10% | Fairly safe |- | 60 to 68% | 10 to 18% | Safe |- | Over 68% | Over 18% | Very safe |} ====Federal==== Following the [[2022 Australian federal election|2022 federal election]], 51 of the 151 seats in the [[Australian House of Representatives|House of Representatives]] are considered "marginal". The most marginal is the [[Division of Gilmore]] in New South Wales, held by the [[Australian Labor Party|Labor Party]] on a margin of 0.17% against the [[Liberal Party of Australia|Liberal Party]]. This seat was retained by Labor by just over 300 votes. ====New South Wales==== Following the [[2023 New South Wales state election|2023 state election]], 18 of the 93 seats in the [[New South Wales Legislative Assembly]] are marginal seats. The most marginal is [[electoral district of Ryde|Ryde]], held by the Liberal Party on a margin of 0.01% against the Labor Party. This seat was won by [[Jordan Lane (politician)|Jordan Lane]] by just 50 votes on the first count (and 54 on the recount), successfully succeeding outgoing Liberal MP [[Victor Dominello]]. It is believed that the seat became marginal due to the Dominello's departure, due to his popularity in the area. ====Northern Territory==== Following the [[2024 Northern Territory general election|2024 general election]], eight of the 25 seats in the [[Northern Territory Legislative Assembly]] are marginal seats. The most marginal is [[electoral division of Nightcliff|Nightcliff]], held by the [[NT Greens|Greens]] on a margin of 0.4% against the [[Territory Labor Party|Labor Party]], who lost the seat by just 36 votes. ====Queensland==== Following the [[2020 Queensland state election|2020 state election]], 29 of the 93 seats in the [[Legislative Assembly of Queensland]] are marginal seats. The most marginal is the [[electoral district of Bundaberg|Bundaberg]], held by the Labor Party on a margin of 0.01% against the [[Liberal National Party of Queensland|Liberal National Party]], who lost the seat by just nine votes. ====South Australia==== Following the [[2022 South Australian state election|2022 state election]], 17 of the 47 seats in the [[South Australian Legislative Assembly]] are marginal seats. The most marginal is [[electoral district of Dunstan|Dunstan]], held by the Liberal Party on a margin of 0.8% against the Labor Party. Notably, this seat is held by former Liberal leader [[Steven Marshall]], who was also the state's [[Premier of South Australia|Premier]] until this election. ====Victoria==== Following the [[2022 Victorian state election|2022 state election]], 28 of the 88 seats in the [[Victorian Legislative Assembly]] are marginal seats. The two most marginal are [[electoral district of Bass|Bass]] and [[electoral district of Northcote|Northcote]], both of which are held by the Labor Party on a margin of 0.2% against the Liberal Party and the [[Australian Greens|Greens]], respectively. ====Western Australia==== Following the [[2021 Western Australian state election|2021 state election]], just five of the 59 seats in the [[Western Australian Legislative Assembly]] are marginal seats. The most marginal is [[electoral district of Churchlands|Churchlands]], held by the Labor Party on a margin of 0.8% against the Liberal Party.
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