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Small-world experiment
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==The experiment== Milgram's experiment developed out of a desire to learn more about the probability that two randomly selected people would know each other.<ref name=milg>{{Cite journal|last1=Travers|first1=Jeffrey|last2=Milgram|first2=Stanley|date=1969|title=An Experimental Study of the Small World Problem|jstor=2786545|journal=Sociometry|volume=32|issue=4|pages=425β443|doi=10.2307/2786545}}</ref> This is one way of looking at the small world problem. An alternative view of the problem is to imagine the population as a social network and attempt to find the [[average path length]] between any two nodes. Milgram's experiment was designed to measure these path lengths by developing a procedure to count the number of ties between any two people. ===Basic procedure=== [[File:Experement Small World (possible option).gif|500px|thumb|One possible path of a message in the "Small World" experiment by Stanley Milgram]] # Though the experiment went through several variations, Milgram typically chose individuals in the U.S. cities of [[Omaha, Nebraska]], and [[Wichita, Kansas]], to be the starting points and [[Boston, Massachusetts]], to be the end point of a chain of correspondence. These cities were selected because they were thought to represent a great distance in the United States, both socially and geographically.<ref name=bara /> # Information packets were initially sent to "randomly" selected individuals in Omaha or Wichita. They included letters, which detailed the study's purpose, and basic information about a target contact person in Boston. It additionally contained a roster on which they could write their own name, as well as business reply cards that were pre-addressed to Harvard. # Upon receiving the invitation to participate, the recipient was asked whether he or she personally knew the contact person described in the letter. If so, the person was to forward the letter directly to that person. For the purposes of this study, knowing someone "personally" was defined as knowing them on a first-name basis. # In the more likely case that the person did not personally know the target, then the person was to think of a friend or relative who was more likely to know the target. They were then directed to sign their name on the roster and forward the packet to that person. A postcard was also mailed to the researchers at Harvard so that they could track the chain's progression toward the target. # When and if the package eventually reached the contact person in Boston, the researchers could examine the roster to count the number of times it had been forwarded from person to person. Additionally, for packages that never reached the destination, the incoming postcards helped identify the break point in the chain.{{citation needed|date=August 2012}} ===Results=== Shortly after the experiments began, letters would begin arriving to the targets and the researchers would receive postcards from the respondents. Sometimes the packet would arrive to the target in as few as one or two hops, while some chains were composed of as many as nine or ten links. However, a significant problem was that often people refused to pass the letter forward, and thus the chain never reached its destination. In one case, 232 of the 296 letters never reached the destination.<ref name=milg /> However, 64 of the letters eventually did reach the target contact. Among these chains, the [[average path length]] fell around five and a half or six. Hence, the researchers concluded that people in the United States are separated by about six people on average. Although Milgram himself never used the phrase "[[Six Degrees of Separation|six degrees of separation]]", these findings are likely to have contributed to its widespread acceptance.<ref name=bara /> In an experiment in which 160 letters were mailed out, 24 reached the target in his home in [[Sharon, Massachusetts]]. Of those 24 letters, 16 were given to the target by the same person, a clothing merchant Milgram called "Mr. Jacobs". Of those that reached the target at his office, more than half came from two other men.<ref>{{cite book |last=Gladwell |first=Malcolm |title=The Tipping Point |publisher=Little Brown |pages= 34β38 |chapter=The Law of the Few}}</ref> The researchers used the postcards to qualitatively examine the types of chains that are created. Generally, the package quickly reached a close geographic proximity, but would circle the target almost randomly until it found the target's inner circle of friends.<ref name=milg /> This suggests that participants strongly favored geographic characteristics when choosing an appropriate next person in the chain. ===Criticisms=== There are a number of methodological criticisms of the small-world experiment, which suggest that the average path length might actually be smaller or larger than Milgram expected. Four such criticisms are summarized here: # Judith Kleinfeld argues<ref>{{cite journal |last1=Kleinfeld |first1=Judith |date=March 2002|title=Six Degrees: Urban Myth? |journal=Psychology Today |publisher=Sussex Publishers, LLC |url=http://www.psychologytoday.com/articles/200203/six-degrees-urban-myth |access-date=June 15, 2011}}</ref> that Milgram's study suffers from selection and non-response bias due to the way participants were recruited and high non-completion rates. First, the "starters" were not chosen at random, as they were recruited through an advertisement that specifically sought people who considered themselves well-connected. Another problem has to do with the attrition rate. If one assumes a constant portion of non-response for each person in the chain, longer chains will be under-represented because it is more likely that they will encounter an unwilling participant. Hence, Milgram's experiment should underestimate the true average path length. Several methods have been suggested to correct these estimates; one uses a variant of [[survival analysis]] in order to account for the length information of interrupted chains, and thus reduce the bias in the estimation of average degrees of separation.<ref name = "Schnettler2009">{{cite journal | doi=10.1016/j.socnet.2008.12.005 | title=A small world on feet of clay? A comparison of empirical small-world studies against best-practice criteria | date=2009 | last1=Schnettler | first1=Sebastian | journal=Social Networks | volume=31 | issue=3 | pages=179β189 }}</ref> # One of the key features of Milgram's methodology is that participants are asked to choose the person they know who is most likely to know the target individual. But in many cases, the participant may be unsure which of their friends is the most likely to know the target. Thus, since the participants of the Milgram experiment do not have a topological map of the social network, they might actually be sending the package further away from the target rather than sending it along the [[Shortest path problem|shortest path]]. This is very likely to increase route length, overestimating the average number of ties needed to connect two random people. An omniscient path-planner, having access to the complete social graph of the country, would be able to choose a shortest path that is, in general, shorter than the path produced by a [[greedy algorithm]] that makes local decisions only. # A description of heterogeneous social networks still remains an open question. Though much research was not done for a number of years, in 1998 [[Duncan Watts]] and [[Steven Strogatz]] published a breakthrough paper in the journal ''Nature.'' Mark Buchanan said, "Their paper touched off a storm of further work across many fields of science" (''Nexus'', p60, 2002). See Watts' book on the topic: ''[[Six Degrees: The Science of a Connected Age]]''. # Some communities, such as the [[Sentinelese people|Sentinelese]], are completely isolated, disrupting the otherwise global chains. Once these people are discovered, they remain more "distant" from the vast majority of the world, as they have few economic, familial, or social contacts with the world at large; before they are discovered, they are not within any degree of separation from the rest of the population. However, these populations are invariably tiny, rendering them of low statistical relevance. In addition to these methodological criticisms, conceptual issues are debated. One regards the social relevance of indirect contact chains of different degrees of separation. Much formal and empirical work focuses on diffusion processes, but the literature on the small-world problem also often illustrates the relevance of the research using an example (similar to Milgram's experiment) of a targeted search in which a starting person tries to obtain some kind of resource (e.g., information) from a target person, using a number of intermediaries to reach that target person. However, there is little empirical research showing that indirect channels with a length of about six degrees of separation are actually used for such directed search, or that such search processes are more efficient compared to other means (e.g., finding information in a directory).<ref name = "Schnettler2009b">{{cite journal | doi=10.1016/j.socnet.2008.12.004 | title=A structured overview of 50 years of small-world research | date=2009 | last1=Schnettler | first1=Sebastian | journal=Social Networks | volume=31 | issue=3 | pages=165β178 }}</ref>
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