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Climate variability and change
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=== Life === [[File:Aridity ice age vs early holocene vs modern.jpg|thumb|upright=1.35|right|''Top:'' [[Arid]] ice age climate{{Clear}}''Middle:'' [[Atlantic period|Atlantic Period]], warm and wet{{Clear}}''Bottom:'' Potential vegetation in climate now if not for human effects like agriculture.<ref name="OakRidge-1997">{{cite web | editor1-last=Adams | editor1-first=J.M. | editor2-last=Faure | editor2-first=H. | year=1997 | url=http://www.esd.ornl.gov/projects/qen/nerc.html | title=Global land environments since the last interglacial | publisher=Oak Ridge National Laboratory | location=Tennessee | url-status=dead | archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20080116122058/http://www.esd.ornl.gov/projects/qen/nerc.html | archive-date=16 January 2008 | df=dmy-all }} QEN members.</ref>]] ==== Vegetation ==== A change in the type, distribution and coverage of vegetation may occur given a change in the climate. Some changes in climate may result in increased precipitation and warmth, resulting in improved plant growth and the subsequent sequestration of airborne CO<sub>2</sub>. Though an increase in CO<sub>2</sub> may benefit plants, some factors can diminish this increase. If there is an environmental change such as drought, increased CO<sub>2</sub> concentrations will not benefit the plant.<ref>{{Cite journal |last=Swann |first=Abigail L. S. |date=2018-06-01 |title=Plants and Drought in a Changing Climate |url=https://doi.org/10.1007/s40641-018-0097-y |journal=Current Climate Change Reports |language=en |volume=4 |issue=2 |pages=192β201 |doi=10.1007/s40641-018-0097-y |bibcode=2018CCCR....4..192S |issn=2198-6061}}</ref> So even though climate change does increase CO<sub>2</sub> emissions, plants will often not use this increase as other environmental stresses put pressure on them.<ref>{{Cite journal |last1=Ainsworth |first1=E. A. |last2=Lemonnier |first2=P. |last3=Wedow |first3=J. M. |date=January 2020 |editor-last=Tausz-Posch |editor-first=S. |title=The influence of rising tropospheric carbon dioxide and ozone on plant productivity |journal=Plant Biology |language=en |volume=22 |issue=S1 |pages=5β11 |doi=10.1111/plb.12973 |issn=1435-8603 |pmc=6916594 |pmid=30734441|bibcode=2020PlBio..22S...5A }}</ref> However, sequestration of CO<sub>2</sub> is expected to affect the rate of many natural cycles like [[plant litter]] decomposition rates.<ref>{{cite journal |last1=Ochoa-Hueso |first1=R |last2=Delgado-Baquerizo |first2=N |last3=King |first3=PTA |last4=Benham |first4=M |last5=Arca |first5=V |last6=Power |first6=SA |title=Ecosystem type and resource quality are more important than global change drivers in regulating early stages of litter decomposition |journal=Soil Biology and Biochemistry |date=2019 |volume=129 |pages=144β52 |doi=10.1016/j.soilbio.2018.11.009 |bibcode=2019SBiBi.129..144O |hdl=10261/336676 |s2cid=92606851 |hdl-access=free }}</ref> A gradual increase in warmth in a region will lead to earlier flowering and fruiting times, driving a change in the timing of life cycles of dependent organisms. Conversely, cold will cause plant bio-cycles to lag.<ref>{{cite web |last=Kinver |first=Mark |date=15 November 2011 |title=UK trees' fruit ripening '18 days earlier' |publisher=Bbc.co.uk |url=https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/science-environment-15721263 |access-date=1 November 2012 |archive-date=17 March 2023 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20230317140816/https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/science-environment-15721263 |url-status=live }}</ref> Larger, faster or more radical changes, however, may result in vegetation stress, rapid plant loss and [[desertification]] in certain circumstances.<ref name="Sahney-2010">{{cite journal |last1=Sahney |first1=S. |last2=Benton |first2=M.J. |last3=Falcon-Lang |first3=H.J. |year=2010 |title=Rainforest collapse triggered Pennsylvanian tetrapod diversification in Euramerica |journal=Geology |doi=10.1130/G31182.1 |bibcode=2010Geo....38.1079S |volume=38 |issue=12 |pages=1079β82 |url=https://www.academia.edu/368820 |format=PDF |access-date=27 November 2013 |archive-date=17 March 2023 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20230317140814/https://www.academia.edu/368820 |url-status=live }}</ref><ref>{{cite journal |last1=Bachelet |first1=D. |author-link1=Dominique Bachelet|last2=Neilson |first2=R. |last3=Lenihan |first3=J. M. |last4=Drapek |first4=R.J. |year=2001 |title=Climate Change Effects on Vegetation Distribution and Carbon Budget in the United States |journal=[[Ecosystems]] |doi=10.1007/s10021-001-0002-7 |volume=4 |issue=3 |pages=164β85 |bibcode=2001Ecosy...4..164B |s2cid=15526358 }}</ref><ref>{{Cite journal |last1=Ridolfi |first1=Luca |last2=D'Odorico |first2=P. |last3=Porporato |first3=A. |last4=Rodriguez-Iturbe |first4=I. |date=2000-07-27 |title=Impact of climate variability on the vegetation water stress |url=https://agupubs.onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1029/2000JD900206 |journal=Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres |language=en |volume=105 |issue=D14 |pages=18013β18025 |doi=10.1029/2000JD900206 |bibcode=2000JGR...10518013R |issn=0148-0227}}</ref> An example of this occurred during the [[Carboniferous Rainforest Collapse]] (CRC), an extinction event 300 million years ago. At this time vast rainforests covered the equatorial region of Europe and America. Climate change devastated these tropical rainforests, abruptly fragmenting the habitat into isolated 'islands' and causing the extinction of many plant and animal species.<ref name="Sahney-2010" /> ==== Wildlife ==== One of the most important ways animals can deal with climatic change is migration to warmer or colder regions.{{Sfn|Burroughs|2007|p=273}} On a longer timescale, evolution makes ecosystems including animals better adapted to a new climate.<ref>{{Cite journal|last1=Millington|first1=Rebecca|last2=Cox|first2=Peter M.|last3=Moore|first3=Jonathan R.|last4=Yvon-Durocher|first4=Gabriel|date=10 May 2019|title=Modelling ecosystem adaptation and dangerous rates of global warming|journal=Emerging Topics in Life Sciences|language=en|volume=3|issue=2|pages=221β31|doi=10.1042/ETLS20180113|pmid=33523155|issn=2397-8554|hdl=10871/36988|s2cid=150221323|hdl-access=free}}</ref> Rapid or large climate change can cause [[mass extinctions]] when creatures are stretched too far to be able to adapt.{{Sfn|Burroughs|2007|p=267}} ==== Humanity ==== Collapses of past civilizations such as the [[Maya civilization|Maya]] may be related to cycles of precipitation, especially drought, that in this example also correlates to the [[Western Hemisphere Warm Pool]]. Around 70 000 years ago the [[Toba Volcano|Toba supervolcano]] eruption created an especially cold period during the ice age, leading to a possible [[Toba bottleneck|genetic bottleneck]] in human populations.
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