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Birthday problem
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===Reverse problem=== The reverse problem is to find, for a fixed probability {{mvar|p}}, the greatest {{mvar|n}} for which the probability {{math|''p''(''n'')}} is smaller than the given {{mvar|p}}, or the smallest {{mvar|n}} for which the probability {{math|''p''(''n'')}} is greater than the given {{mvar|p}}.{{citation needed|date=September 2019}} Taking the above formula for {{math|''d'' {{=}} 365}}, one has :<math>n(p;365)\approx \sqrt{730\ln\left(\frac{1}{1-p}\right)}.</math> The following table gives some sample calculations. :{| class="wikitable" |----- ! {{mvar|p}} || {{mvar|n}} ! {{math|''n''β}} || {{math|''p''(''n''β)}} || {{math|''n''β}} || {{math|''p''(''n''β)}} |----- | <span style="color:maroon">0.01</span> | 0.14178{{sqrt|365}} = <span style="color:maroon">2.70864</span> | align="right" | 2 || 0.00274 || align="right" | 3 | <span style="color:maroon">0.00820</span> |----- | 0.05 || 0.32029{{sqrt|365}} = 6.11916 | align="right" | 6 || 0.04046 || align="right" | 7 || 0.05624 |----- | <span style="color:maroon">0.1</span> | 0.45904{{sqrt|365}} = <span style="color:maroon"> 8.77002</span> | align="right" | 8 || 0.07434 || align="right" | 9 | <span style="color:maroon">0.09462</span> |----- | <span style="color:maroon">0.2</span> | 0.66805{{sqrt|365}} = <span style="color:maroon">12.76302</span> | align="right" | 12 || 0.16702 || align="right" | 13 | <span style="color:maroon">0.19441</span> |----- | 0.3 || 0.84460{{sqrt|365}} = 16.13607 | align="right" | 16 || 0.28360 || align="right" | 17 || 0.31501 |----- | 0.5 || 1.17741{{sqrt|365}} = 22.49439 | align="right" | 22 || 0.47570 || align="right" | 23 || 0.50730 |----- | 0.7 || 1.55176{{sqrt|365}} = 29.64625 | align="right" | 29 || 0.68097 || align="right" | 30 || 0.70632 |----- | 0.8 || 1.79412{{sqrt|365}} = 34.27666 | align="right" | 34 || 0.79532 || align="right" | 35 || 0.81438 |----- | 0.9 || 2.14597{{sqrt|365}} = 40.99862 | align="right" | 40 || 0.89123 || align="right" | 41 || 0.90315 |----- | 0.95 || 2.44775{{sqrt|365}} = 46.76414 | align="right" | 46 || 0.94825 || align="right" | 47 || 0.95477 |----- | <span style="color:maroon">0.99</span> | 3.03485{{sqrt|365}} = <span style="color:maroon">57.98081</span> | align="right" | 57 | <span style="color:maroon">0.99012</span> | align="right" | 58 || 0.99166 |} Some values falling outside the bounds have been <span style="color:maroon">colored</span> to show that the approximation is not always exact.
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