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Operation Downfall
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===Assumptions=== While the geography of Japan was known, the U.S. military planners had to estimate the defending forces that they would face. Based on intelligence available early in 1945, their assumptions included the following:{{sfn|Sutherland|p=2}} * "That operations in this area will be opposed not only by the available organized military forces of the Empire, but also by a fanatically hostile population." * "That approximately three (3) hostile [[Division (military)|divisions]] will be disposed in Southern Kyushu and an additional three (3) in Northern Kyushu at initiation of the Olympic operation." * "That total hostile forces committed against Kyushu operations will not exceed eight (8) to ten (10) divisions and that this level will be speedily attained." * "That approximately twenty-one (21) hostile divisions, including depot divisions, will be on Honshu at the initiation of [Coronet] and that fourteen (14) of these divisions may be employed in the Kanto Plain area." * "That the enemy may withdraw his land-based air forces to the Asiatic Mainland for protection from our neutralizing attacks. That under such circumstances he can possibly amass from 2,000 to 2,500 planes in that area by exercising a rigid economy, and that this force can operate against Kyushu landings by [[Staging area|staging]] through homeland fields."
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