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Posterior probability
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==Credible interval== Posterior probability is a conditional probability conditioned on randomly observed data. Hence it is a random variable. For a random variable, it is important to summarize its amount of uncertainty. One way to achieve this goal is to provide a [[credible interval]] of the posterior probability.<ref>{{Cite book |last1=Clyde |first1=Merlise |url=https://statswithr.github.io/book/the-basics-of-bayesian-statistics.html |title=Chapter 1 The Basics of Bayesian Statistics {{!}} An Introduction to Bayesian Thinking |last2=Çetinkaya-Rundel |first2=Mine |last3=Rundel |first3=Colin |last4=Banks |first4=David |last5=Chai |first5=Christine |last6=Huang |first6=Lizzy}}</ref>
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