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Nassim Nicholas Taleb
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=== {{Anchor|Writing career}}Writing career === Taleb's first non-technical book, ''[[Fooled by Randomness]]'', about the underestimation of the role of randomness in life, published in 2001, was selected by [[Fortune (magazine)|''Fortune'']] as one of the smartest 75 books known.<ref>{{cite news|last=Useem|first=Jerry|title=The Smartest Books We Know |url=https://money.cnn.com/magazines/fortune/fortune_archive/2005/03/21/8254826/index.htm|access-date=28 August 2013 |newspaper=Fortune|date=21 March 2005}}</ref> His second non-technical book, ''[[The Black Swan: The Impact of the Highly Improbable|The Black Swan]]'', about unpredictable events, was published in 2007, selling close to three million copies, as of February 2011. It spent 36 weeks on the [[New York Times Bestseller list]],<ref>{{cite web |url=http://www.businessweek.com/magazine/content/11_10/b4218047676960.htm |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20110226142024/http://www.businessweek.com/magazine/content/11_10/b4218047676960.htm |url-status=dead |archive-date=26 February 2011 |title=Charlie Rose Talks to Nassim Taleb |publisher=[[Business Week]] |date=24 February 2011 |access-date=7 May 2015}}</ref> 17 as hardcover and 19 weeks as paperback, and was translated into 50 languages.<ref name=BakerSaid08/><ref>{{cite web | url=https://www.swisseconomic.ch/en/profile/nassim-nicholas-taleb | title=Nassim Nicholas Taleb Profile |website=www.swisseconomic.ch}}</ref> The book has been credited with predicting the [[2008 financial crisis]].<ref name=BrooksOpEdNYT>{{cite news |author-link=David Brooks (cultural commentator) |first=David |last=Brooks|work=[[The New York Times]]|quote=Not only did Taleb have an explanation for the crisis, but he saw it coming |url=https://www.nytimes.com/2008/10/28/opinion/28brooks.html?_r=0|title=The Behavioral Revolution |date=27 October 2008}}</ref> In a 2008 article in ''[[The Times]]'', journalist [[Bryan Appleyard]] described Taleb as "the hottest thinker in the world".<ref name="business.timesonline.co.uk" /> [[Daniel Kahneman]] proposed the inclusion of Taleb's name among the world's top intellectuals, saying "Taleb has changed the way many people think about uncertainty, particularly in the financial markets. His book, ''The Black Swan'', is an original and audacious analysis of the ways in which humans try to make sense of unexpected events."<ref name="kahneman">{{cite web |last=Kahneman |first=Daniel |author-link=Daniel Kahneman |date=2008 |title=How Could You Not Include ... |url=https://foreignpolicy.com/story/cms.php?story_id=4365 |url-status=dead |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20090329025248/http://www.foreignpolicy.com/story/cms.php?story_id=4365 |archive-date=29 March 2009 |access-date=14 October 2009 |work=[[Foreign Policy]]}}</ref> A book of [[aphorism]]s, ''[[The Bed of Procrustes|The Bed of Procrustes: Philosophical and Practical Aphorisms]]'', was released in December 2010. ''[[Antifragile (book)|Antifragile: Things That Gain from Disorder]]'' was published in November 2012<ref name="TalebAntifragile12" /> and ''[[Skin in the Game (book)|Skin in the Game: Hidden Asymmetries in Daily Life]]'' was published in February 2018. Taleb's five volume philosophical essay on uncertainty, titled '''''Incerto'''''<!-- bolded per [[WP:MOSBOLD]] as a redirect target -->, includes ''Fooled by Randomness'' (2001), ''The Black Swan'' (2007β2010), ''The Bed of Procrustes'' (2010), ''Antifragile'' (2012), and ''Skin in the Game'' (2018). It was originally published in November 2016 including only the first four books. The fifth book was added in August 2019. Taleb's non-technical writing style has been described as mixing a narrative, often semi-autobiographical style with short philosophical tales and historical and scientific commentary. The sales of Taleb's first two books garnered an advance of $4 million, for a follow-up book on anti-fragility.<ref name=BakerSaid08/>
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