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World3
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==Validation== A number of researchers have attempted to test the predictions of the World3 model against observed data, [[The_Limits to Growth#Validation|with varying conclusions]]. One of the more recent of these, published in [[Yale]]'s ''[[Journal of Industrial Ecology]]'',<ref name="Herrington">{{cite journal |last=Herrington |first=Gaya |author-link=Gaya Herrington |date=2020 |title=Update to limits to growth: Comparing the World3 model with empirical data |journal=Journal of Industrial Ecology |publisher=Wiley |volume=25 |issue=3 |pages=614β626 |doi=10.1111/jiec.13084 |s2cid=226019712}}</ref> found that current empirical data is broadly consistent with the 1972 projections, and that if major changes to the consumption of resources are not undertaken, economic growth will peak and then rapidly decline by around 2040.<ref name=Nafeez>{{cite news |title=MIT Predicted in 1972 That Society Will Collapse This Century. New Research Shows We're on Schedule. | work=[[Vice.com]] | first=Nafeez |last=Ahmed | date= 14 July 2021 |url=https://www.vice.com/en/article/new-research-vindicates-1972-mit-prediction-that-society-will-collapse-soon/}} Study also available [https://advisory.kpmg.us/articles/2021/limits-to-growth.html here]</ref><ref>{{cite news |last1=Rosane |first1=Olivia |title=1972 Warning of Civilizational Collapse Was on Point, New Study Finds |url=https://www.ecowatch.com/climate-crisis-civilization-collapse-mit-2653980183.html |access-date=29 August 2021 |agency=Ecowatch |date=26 July 2021}}</ref>
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