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Standard deviation
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{{Short description|In statistics, a measure of variation}} {{other uses}} {{Use dmy dates|date=October 2020}} [[File:Standard deviation diagram.svg|thumb|A plot of [[normal distribution]] (or bell-shaped curve) where each band has a width of 1 standard deviation β See also: [[68β95β99.7 rule]].]] [[File:Normal-distribution-cumulative-density-function.svg|thumb|Cumulative probability of a normal distribution with expected value 0 and standard deviation 1]] In [[statistics]], the '''standard deviation''' is a measure of the amount of variation of the values of a variable about its [[Expected value|mean]].<ref name=StatNotes>{{Cite journal|last1=Bland|first1=J.M.|last2=Altman|first2=D.G.|title=Statistics notes: measurement error|date=1996|journal=BMJ |volume=312|issue=7047|pages=1654|pmc=2351401|pmid=8664723|doi=10.1136/bmj.312.7047.1654}}</ref> A low standard [[Deviation (statistics)|deviation]] indicates that the values tend to be close to the [[mean]] (also called the [[expected value]]) of the set, while a high standard deviation indicates that the values are spread out over a wider range. The standard deviation is commonly used in the determination of what constitutes an [[outlier]] and what does not. Standard deviation may be abbreviated '''SD''' or '''std dev''', and is most commonly represented in mathematical texts and equations by the lowercase [[Greek alphabet|Greek letter]] '''[[Sigma|Ο]]''' (sigma), for the population standard deviation, or the [[Latin script|Latin letter]] '''''[[s]]''''', for the sample standard deviation. The standard deviation of a [[random variable]], [[Sample (statistics)|sample]], [[statistical population]], [[data set]], or [[probability distribution]] is the [[square root]] of its [[variance]]. (For a finite population, variance is the average of the [[squared deviations from the mean]].) A useful property of the standard deviation is that, unlike the variance, it is expressed in the same unit as the data. Standard deviation can also be used to calculate [[standard error]] for a finite sample, and to determine [[statistical significance]]. When only a [[statistical sample|sample]] of data from a population is available, the term ''standard deviation of the sample'' or ''sample standard deviation'' can refer to either the above-mentioned quantity as applied to those data, or to a modified quantity that is an unbiased estimate of the ''population standard deviation'' (the standard deviation of the entire population). ==Relationship with standard error and statistical significance== The standard deviation of a population or sample and the [[standard error]] of a statistic (e.g., of the sample mean) are quite different, but related. The sample mean's standard error is the standard deviation of the set of means that would be found by drawing an [[Infinity|infinite]] number of repeated samples from the population and computing a mean for each sample. The mean's standard error turns out to equal the population standard deviation divided by the square root of the sample size, and is estimated by using the sample standard deviation divided by the square root of the sample size. For example, a poll's standard error (what is reported as the [[margin of error]] of the poll) is the expected standard deviation of the estimated mean if the same poll were to be conducted multiple times. Thus, the standard error estimates the standard deviation of an estimate, which itself measures how much the estimate depends on the particular sample that was taken from the population. In [[science]], it is common to report both the standard deviation of the data (as a summary statistic) and the standard error of the estimate (as a measure of potential error in the findings). By convention, only effects more than two standard errors away from a null expectation are considered "[[Statistical significance|statistically significant]]", a safeguard against spurious conclusion that is really due to random sampling error. ==Basic examples== ===Population standard deviation of grades of eight students=== Suppose that the entire population of interest is eight students in a particular class. For a finite set of numbers, the population standard deviation is found by taking the [[square root]] of the [[average]] of the squared deviations of the values subtracted from their average value. The marks of a class of eight students (that is, a [[statistical population]]) are the following eight values: <math display="block">2,\ 4,\ 4,\ 4,\ 5,\ 5,\ 7,\ 9.</math> These eight data points have the [[mean]] (average) of 5: <math display="block"> \mu = \frac{2 + 4 + 4 + 4 + 5 + 5 + 7 + 9}{8} = \frac{40}{8} = 5. </math> First, calculate the deviations of each data point from the mean, and [[square (algebra)|square]] the result of each: <math display="block">\begin{array}{lll} (2 - 5)^2 = (-3)^2 = 9 && (5 - 5)^2 = 0^2 = 0 \\ (4 - 5)^2 = (-1)^2 = 1 && (5 - 5)^2 = 0^2 = 0 \\ (4 - 5)^2 = (-1)^2 = 1 && (7 - 5)^2 = 2^2 = 4 \\ (4 - 5)^2 = (-1)^2 = 1 && (9 - 5)^2 = 4^2 = 16. \\ \end{array}</math> The [[variance]] is the mean of these values: <!-- Notice: DO NOT CHANGE the denominator below to 7. If you don't understand why it is 8, read the Talk page. --> <!-- When you have the entire sample population, you use 'n' as the denominator. 'n-1' is only used if your data represents a SAMPLING from the entire population. --> <math display="block">\sigma^2 = \frac{9 + 1 + 1 + 1 + 0 + 0 + 4 + 16}{8} = \frac{32}{8} = 4.</math><!-- DO NOT CHANGE the denominator to 7. See talk page--> and the ''population'' standard deviation is equal to the square root of the variance: <math display="block">\sigma = \sqrt{ 4 } = 2.</math> This <!-- 1. the ''population'' standard deviation, 2. "the ''population'' standard deviation is equal to the square root of the [[variance]]" --> formula is valid only if the eight values with which we began form the complete population. If the values instead were a random sample drawn from some large parent population (for example, there were 8 students randomly and independently chosen from a student population of 2 million), then one divides by {{nowrap|7 (which is ''n'' β 1)}} instead of {{nowrap|8 (which is ''n'')}} in the denominator of the last formula, and the result is <math display="inline">s = \sqrt{32/7} \approx 2.1.</math> In that case, the result of the original formula would be called the ''sample'' standard deviation and denoted by <math display="inline">s</math> instead of <math>\sigma.</math> Dividing by <math display="inline">n-1</math> rather than by <math display="inline">n</math> gives an unbiased estimate of the variance of the larger parent population. This is known as ''[[Bessel's correction]]''.<ref>{{MathWorld|urlname=BesselsCorrection|title=Bessel's Correction}}</ref><ref>{{Cite web|title=Standard Deviation Formulas|url=https://www.mathsisfun.com/data/standard-deviation-formulas.html|access-date=21 August 2020|website=www.mathsisfun.com}}</ref> Roughly, the reason for it is that the formula for the sample variance relies on computing differences of observations from the sample mean, and the sample mean itself was constructed to be as close as possible to the observations, so just dividing by ''n'' would underestimate the variability. ===Standard deviation of average height for adult men=== If the population of interest is approximately normally distributed, the standard deviation provides information on the proportion of observations above or below certain values. For example, the [[Average human height|average height for adult men]] in the [[United States]] is about {{tooltip|69 inches|{{convert|69|inches|cm ftin|0|disp=out}}}},<ref>{{citation |url=https://www.cdc.gov/nchs/data/series/sr_03/sr03-046-508.pdf |title=Anthropometric Reference Data for Children and Adults: United States, 2015β2018 |series=National Center for Health Statistics: Vital and Health Statistics |date=January 2021 |publisher=Centers for Disease Control and Prevention |volume=3 |number=46 |page=16, Table 12}}</ref> with a standard deviation of around {{tooltip|3 inches|{{convert|3|inches|cm|disp=out}}}}. This means that most men (about 68%, assuming a [[normal distribution]]) have a height within 3 inches of the mean ({{tooltip|66β72 inches|{{convert|66β72|inches|cm ftin|0|disp=out}}}}){{snd}}one standard deviation{{snd}}and almost all men (about 95%) have a height within {{tooltip|6 inches|{{convert|6|inches|cm|disp=out}}}} of the mean ({{tooltip|63β75 inches|{{convert|63β75|inches|cm ftin|0|disp=out}}}}){{snd}}two standard deviations. If the standard deviation were zero, then all men would share an identical height of 69 inches. Three standard deviations account for 99.73% of the sample population being studied, assuming the distribution is [[Normal distribution|normal]] or bell-shaped (see the [[68β95β99.7 rule]], or the ''empirical rule,'' for more information). ==Definition of population values== Let {{mvar|ΞΌ}} be the [[expected value]] (the average) of [[random variable]] {{mvar|X}} with density {{math|{{var|f}}({{mvar|x}})}}: <math display="block"> \mu \equiv \operatorname{\mathbb E}[X] = \int_{-\infty}^{+\infty} x\ f(x)\ {\mathrm d} x </math> The standard deviation {{mvar|Ο}} of {{mvar|X}} is defined as <math display="block"> \sigma \equiv \sqrt{\operatorname{\mathbb E}\left[ \left(X - \mu\right)^2 \right]} = \sqrt{ \int_{-\infty}^{+\infty} \left( x - \mu \right)^2 f(x) \ {\mathrm d} x \;}\ , </math> which can be shown to equal <math display="inline"> \sqrt{\ \operatorname{\mathbb E}\left[\ X^2\ \right] - \left(\ \operatorname{\mathbb E}\left[ X \right]\ \right)^2 \;} ~.</math> Using words, the standard deviation is the square root of the [[variance]] of {{mvar|X}}. The standard deviation of a probability distribution is the same as that of a random variable having that distribution. Not all random variables have a standard deviation. If the distribution has [[fat tails]] going out to infinity, the standard deviation might not exist, because the integral might not converge. The [[normal distribution]] has tails going out to infinity, but its mean and standard deviation do exist, because the tails diminish quickly enough. The [[Pareto distribution]] with parameter <math> \alpha \in (1,2] </math> has a mean, but not a standard deviation (loosely speaking, the standard deviation is infinite). The [[Cauchy distribution]] has neither a mean nor a standard deviation. ===Discrete random variable=== In the case where {{mvar|X}} takes random values from a finite data set {{math|{{var|x}}{{sub|1}}, {{var|x}}{{sub|2}}, ..., {{var|x}}{{sub|{{var|N}}}}}}, with each value having the same probability, the standard deviation is <math display="block">\sigma = \sqrt{\frac{1}{N}\ \left[ \left( x_1 - \mu \right)^2 + \left( x_2 - \mu \right)^2 + \cdots + \left( x_N - \mu \right)^2 \right] \;}\ , ~~\text{ where }~~ \mu \equiv \frac{1}{N} \left(x_1 + \cdots + x_N \right)\ ,</math> Note: The above expression has a built-in bias. See the discussion on [[Bessel's correction]] further down below. or, by using [[summation]] notation, <math display="block">\sigma = \sqrt{ \frac{1}{N} \sum_{i=1}^N \left(x_i - \mu \right)^2 \;}\ , ~~\text{ where }~~ \mu \equiv \frac{1}{N} \sum_{i=1}^N x_i ~.</math><!-- In the previous, not N - 1 but N. This is the whole population. --> If, instead of having equal probabilities, the values have different probabilities, let {{math|{{var|x}}{{sub|1}}}} have probability {{math|{{var|p}}{{sub|1}}}}, {{math|{{var|x}}{{sub|2}}}} have probability {{math|{{var|p}}{{sub|2}}, ..., {{var|x}}{{sub|{{var|N}}}}}} have probability {{nobr|{{math|{{var|p}}{{sub|{{var|N}}}}}} .}} In this case, the standard deviation will be <math display="block">\sigma = \sqrt{ \sum_{i=1}^N p_i(x_i - \mu)^2 \;}\ , ~~\text{ where }~~ \mu \equiv \sum_{i=1}^N p_i\ x_i ~.</math> ===Continuous random variable=== The standard deviation of a [[continuous distribution|continuous real-valued random variable]] {{mvar|X}} with [[probability density function]] {{math|{{var|p}}({{var|x}})}} is <math display="block">\sigma = \sqrt{ \int_\mathbf{X} \left( x - \mu \right)^2\ p(x)\ {\mathrm d} x \;}\ , ~~\text{ where }~~ \mu \equiv \int_\mathbf{X} x\ p(x)\ {\mathrm d} x\ ,</math> and where the integrals are [[definite integral]]s taken for {{mvar|x}} ranging over '''{{math|X}}''', which represents the set of possible values of the random variable {{mvar|X}}. In the case of a [[parametric model|parametric family of distributions]], the standard deviation can often be expressed in terms of the parameters for the underlying distribution. For example, in the case of the [[log-normal distribution]] with parameters {{mvar|ΞΌ}} and {{math|{{var|Ο}}{{sup|2}}}} for the underlying normal distribution, the standard deviation of the log-normal variable is given by the expression <math display="block"> \sqrt{ \left(e^{\sigma^2} - 1\right)\ e^{2\mu + \sigma^2} \;} ~.</math> ==Estimation== {{anchor|Estimation}}{{anchor|Sample standard deviation}} {{see also|Sample variance}} {{main|Unbiased estimation of standard deviation}} One can find the standard deviation of an entire population in cases (such as [[Standardized testing (statistics)|standardized testing]]) where every member of a population is sampled. In cases where that cannot be done, the standard deviation ''Ο'' is estimated by examining a random sample taken from the population and computing a [[statistic]] of the sample, which is used as an estimate of the population standard deviation. Such a statistic is called an [[estimator]], and the estimator (or the value of the estimator, namely the estimate) is called a sample standard deviation, and is denoted by ''s'' (possibly with modifiers). Unlike in the case of estimating the population mean of a normal distribution, for which the [[sample mean]] is a simple estimator with many desirable properties ([[unbiased estimator|unbiased]], [[Efficient estimator|efficient]], maximum likelihood), there is no single estimator for the standard deviation with all these properties, and [[unbiased estimation of standard deviation]] is a very technically involved problem. Most often, the standard deviation is estimated using the ''[[#Corrected sample standard deviation|corrected sample standard deviation]]'' (using ''N'' β 1), defined below, and this is often referred to as the "sample standard deviation", without qualifiers. However, other estimators are better in other respects: the uncorrected estimator (using ''N'') yields lower mean squared error, while using ''N'' β 1.5 (for the normal distribution) almost completely eliminates bias. ===Uncorrected sample standard deviation=== The formula for the ''population'' standard deviation (of a finite population) can be applied to the sample, using the size of the sample as the size of the population (though the actual population size from which the sample is drawn may be much larger). This estimator, denoted by ''s''<sub>''N''</sub>, is known as the ''uncorrected sample standard deviation'', or sometimes the ''standard deviation of the sample'' (considered as the entire population), and is defined as follows:<ref name=":1">{{Cite web| last=Weisstein |first=Eric W.|title=Standard Deviation |url=https://mathworld.wolfram.com/StandardDeviation.html|access-date=21 August 2020 |website=mathworld.wolfram.com |language=en}}</ref> <math display="block">s_N = \sqrt{\frac{1}{N} \sum_{i=1}^N \left(x_i - \bar{x}\right)^2},</math> where <math>\{x_1, \, x_2, \, \ldots, \, x_N\}</math> are the observed values of the sample items, and <math>\bar{x}</math> is the mean value of these observations, while the denominator ''N'' stands for the size of the sample: this is the square root of the sample variance, which is the average of the [[squared deviations]] about the sample mean. This is a [[consistent estimator]] (it converges in probability to the population value as the number of samples goes to infinity), and is the [[maximum likelihood|maximum-likelihood estimate]] when the population is normally distributed.<ref>{{Cite web |title=Consistent estimator |url=https://www.statlect.com/glossary/consistent-estimator |access-date=2022-10-10 |website=www.statlect.com}}</ref> However, this is a [[biased estimator]], as the estimates are generally too low. The bias decreases as sample size grows, dropping off as 1/''N'', and thus is most significant for small or moderate sample sizes; for <math>N > 75</math> the bias is below 1%. Thus for very large sample sizes, the uncorrected sample standard deviation is generally acceptable. This estimator also has a uniformly smaller [[mean squared error]] than the corrected sample standard deviation. ===Corrected sample standard deviation=== If the ''biased [[sample variance]]'' (the second [[central moment]] of the sample, which is a downward-biased estimate of the population variance) is used to compute an estimate of the population's standard deviation, the result is <math display="block">s_N = \sqrt{\frac{1}{N} \sum_{i=1}^N \left(x_i - \bar{x}\right)^2}.</math> Here taking the square root introduces further downward bias, by [[Jensen's inequality]], due to the square root's being a [[concave function]]. The bias in the variance is easily corrected, but the bias from the square root is more difficult to correct, and depends on the distribution in question. An unbiased estimator for the ''variance'' is given by applying [[Bessel's correction]], using ''N'' β 1 instead of ''N'' to yield the ''unbiased sample variance,'' denoted ''s''<sup>2</sup>: <math display="block">s^2 = \frac{1}{N - 1} \sum_{i=1}^N \left(x_i - \bar{x}\right)^2.</math> This estimator is unbiased if the variance exists and the sample values are drawn independently with replacement. ''N'' β 1 corresponds to the number of [[Degrees of freedom (statistics)|degrees of freedom]] in the vector of deviations from the mean, <math>\textstyle(x_1 - \bar{x},\; \dots,\; x_n - \bar{x}).</math> Taking square roots reintroduces bias (because the square root is a nonlinear function which does not [[Commutative property|commute]] with the expectation, i.e. often <math display="inline">E[\sqrt{X}]\neq \sqrt{E[X]}</math>), yielding the ''corrected sample standard deviation,'' denoted by ''s:'' <math display="block">s = \sqrt{\frac{1}{N-1} \sum_{i=1}^N \left(x_i - \bar{x}\right)^2}.</math> As explained above, while ''s''<sup>2</sup> is an unbiased estimator for the population variance, ''s'' is still a biased estimator for the population standard deviation, though markedly less biased than the uncorrected sample standard deviation. This estimator is commonly used and generally known simply as the "sample standard deviation". The bias may still be large for small samples (''N'' less than 10). As sample size increases, the amount of bias decreases. We obtain more information and the difference between <math>\frac{1}{N}</math> and <math>\frac{1}{N-1}</math> becomes smaller. ===Unbiased sample standard deviation=== For [[unbiased estimation of standard deviation]], there is no formula that works across all distributions, unlike for mean and variance. Instead, {{mvar|s}} is used as a basis, and is scaled by a correction factor to produce an unbiased estimate. For the normal distribution, an unbiased estimator is given by {{math|{{sfrac|{{var|s}}|{{var|c}}{{sub|4}}}}}}, where the correction factor (which depends on {{mvar|N}}) is given in terms of the [[Gamma function]], and equals: <math display="block">c_4(N)\,=\,\sqrt{\frac{2}{N-1}}\,\,\,\frac{\Gamma\left(\frac{N}{2}\right)}{\Gamma\left(\frac{N-1}{2}\right)}.</math> This arises because the sampling distribution of the sample standard deviation follows a (scaled) [[chi distribution]], and the correction factor is the mean of the chi distribution. An approximation can be given by replacing {{math|{{var|N}} β 1}} with {{math|{{var|N}} β 1.5}}, yielding: <math display="block">\hat\sigma = \sqrt{\frac{1}{N - 1.5} \sum_{i=1}^N \left(x_i - \bar{x}\right)^2},</math> The error in this approximation decays quadratically (as {{math|{{sfrac|1|{{var|N}}{{sup|2}}}}}}), and it is suited for all but the smallest samples or highest precision: for {{math|1={{var|N}} = 3}} the bias is equal to 1.3%, and for {{math|1={{var|N}} = 9}} the bias is already less than 0.1%. A more accurate approximation is to replace {{math|{{var|N}} β 1.5}} above with {{math|{{var|N}} β 1.5 + {{sfrac|1|8({{var|N}} β 1)}}}}.<ref>{{Citation|first1=John |last1=Gurland |first2=Ram C. |last2=Tripathi|title=A Simple Approximation for Unbiased Estimation of the Standard Deviation|journal=The American Statistician|volume=25|issue=4|year=1971|pages=30β32|doi=10.2307/2682923|jstor=2682923 }}</ref> For other distributions, the correct formula depends on the distribution, but a rule of thumb is to use the further refinement of the approximation: <math display="block">\hat\sigma = \sqrt{\frac{1}{N - 1.5 - \frac{1}{4}\gamma_2} \sum_{i=1}^N \left(x_i - \bar{x}\right)^2},</math> where {{math|{{var|Ξ³}}{{sub|2}}}} denotes the population [[excess kurtosis]]. The excess kurtosis may be either known beforehand for certain distributions, or estimated from the data.<ref>{{Cite web|date=2021-07-11|title=Standard Deviation Calculator|url=https://purecalculators.com/standard-deviation-calculator|access-date=2021-09-14|website=PureCalculators|language=en}}</ref> ===Confidence interval of a sampled standard deviation=== {{see also|Margin of error|Variance#Distribution of the sample variance|Student's t-distribution#Robust parametric modeling}} The standard deviation we obtain by sampling a distribution is itself not absolutely accurate, both for mathematical reasons (explained here by the confidence interval) and for practical reasons of measurement (measurement error). The mathematical effect can be described by the [[confidence interval]] or CI. To show how a larger sample will make the confidence interval narrower, consider the following examples: A small population of {{math|{{var|N}} {{=}} 2}} has only one degree of freedom for estimating the standard deviation. The result is that a 95% CI of the SD runs from 0.45 Γ SD to 31.9 Γ SD; [[Confidence interval#Statistical theory|the factors here are as follows]]: <math display="block">\Pr\left(q_\frac{\alpha}{2} < k \frac{s^2}{\sigma^2} < q_{1 - \frac{\alpha}{2}}\right) = 1 - \alpha,</math> where <math>q_p</math> is the {{mvar|p}}-th quantile of the chi-square distribution with {{mvar|k}} degrees of freedom, and {{math|1 β {{var|Ξ±}}}} is the confidence level. This is equivalent to the following: <math display="block">\Pr\left(k\frac{s^2}{q_{1 - \frac{\alpha}{2}}} < \sigma^2 < k\frac{s^2}{q_{\frac{\alpha}{2}}}\right) = 1 - \alpha.</math> With {{math|{{var|k}} {{=}} 1}}, {{math|{{var|q}}{{sub|0.025}} {{=}} 0.000982}} and {{math|{{var|q}}{{sub|0.975}} {{=}} 5.024}}. The reciprocals of the square roots of these two numbers give us the factors 0.45 and 31.9 given above. A larger population of {{math|{{var|N}} {{=}} 10}} has 9 degrees of freedom for estimating the standard deviation. The same computations as above give us in this case a 95% CI running from 0.69 Γ SD to 1.83 Γ SD. So even with a sample population of 10, the actual SD can still be almost a factor 2 higher than the sampled SD. For a sample population {{math|{{var|N}} {{=}} 100}}, this is down to 0.88 Γ SD to 1.16 Γ SD. To be more certain that the sampled SD is close to the actual SD we need to sample a large number of points. These same formulae can be used to obtain confidence intervals on the variance of residuals from a [[least squares]] fit under standard normal theory, where {{mvar|k}} is now the number of [[Degrees of freedom (statistics)|degrees of freedom]] for error. ===Bounds on standard deviation=== For a set of {{math|{{var|N}} > 4}} data spanning a range of values {{mvar|R}}, an upper bound on the standard deviation {{mvar|s}} is given by {{math|{{var|s}} {{=}} 0.6{{var|R}}}}.<ref>{{Cite journal | doi=10.1111/j.1467-9639.1980.tb00398.x| title=Upper and Lower Bounds for the Sample Standard Deviation| journal=Teaching Statistics| volume=2| issue=3| pages=84β86| year=1980| last1=Shiffler| first1=Ronald E.| last2=Harsha| first2=Phillip D.}}</ref> An estimate of the standard deviation for {{math|{{var|N}} > 100}} data taken to be approximately normal follows from the heuristic that 95% of the area under the normal curve lies roughly two standard deviations to either side of the mean, so that, with 95% probability the total range of values {{mvar|R}} represents four standard deviations so that {{math|{{var|s}} β {{var|R}}/4}}. This so-called range rule is useful in [[sample size]] estimation, as the range of possible values is easier to estimate than the standard deviation. Other divisors {{math|{{var|K}}({{var|N}})}} of the range such that {{math|{{var|s}} β {{var|R}}/{{var|K}}({{var|N}})}} are available for other values of {{mvar|N}} and for non-normal distributions.<ref>{{Cite journal |jstor = 2685690|title = Using the Sample Range as a Basis for Calculating Sample Size in Power Calculations|journal = The American Statistician|volume = 55|issue = 4|pages = 293β298|last1 = Browne|first1 = Richard H.|year = 2001|doi = 10.1198/000313001753272420|s2cid = 122328846}}</ref> ==Identities and mathematical properties== The standard deviation is invariant under changes in [[location parameter|location]], and scales directly with the [[scale parameter|scale]] of the random variable. Thus, for a constant {{mvar|c}} and random variables {{mvar|X}} and {{mvar|Y}}: <math display="block">\begin{align} \sigma(c) &= 0 \\ \sigma(X + c) &= \sigma(X), \\ \sigma(cX) &= |c| \sigma(X). \end{align}</math> The standard deviation of the sum of two random variables can be related to their individual standard deviations and the [[covariance]] between them: <math display="block"> \sigma(X + Y) = \sqrt{\operatorname{var}(X) + \operatorname{var}(Y) + 2 \,\operatorname{cov}(X,Y)}. \, </math> where <math>\textstyle\operatorname{var} \,=\, \sigma^2</math> and <math>\textstyle\operatorname{cov}</math> stand for variance and [[covariance]], respectively. The calculation of the sum of squared deviations can be related to [[moment (mathematics)|moment]]s calculated directly from the data. In the following formula, the letter {{mvar|E}} is interpreted to mean expected value, i.e., mean. <math display="block">\sigma(X) = \sqrt{\operatorname E\left[(X - \operatorname E[X])^2\right]} = \sqrt{\operatorname E\left[X^2\right] - (\operatorname E[X])^2}.</math> The sample standard deviation can be computed as: <math display="block">s(X) = \sqrt{\frac{N}{N-1}} \sqrt{\operatorname E\left[(X - \operatorname E[X])^2\right]}.</math> For a finite population with equal probabilities at all points, we have <math display="block"> \sqrt{\frac{1}{N}\sum_{i=1}^N\left(x_i - \bar{x}\right)^2} = \sqrt{\frac{1}{N}\left(\sum_{i=1}^N x_i^2\right) - {\bar{x}}^2} = \sqrt{\left(\frac{1}{N}\sum_{i=1}^N x_i^2\right) - \left(\frac{1}{N} \sum_{i=1}^{N} x_i\right)^2}, </math> which means that the standard deviation is equal to the square root of the difference between the average of the squares of the values and the square of the average value. See computational formula for the variance for proof, and for an analogous result for the sample standard deviation. ==Interpretation and application== {{further|Prediction interval|Confidence interval}} [[File:Comparison standard deviations.svg|thumb|400px|right|Example of samples from two populations with the same mean but different standard deviations. Red population has mean 100 and SD 10; blue population has mean 100 and SD 50.]] A large standard deviation indicates that the data points can spread far from the mean and a small standard deviation indicates that they are clustered closely around the mean. For example, each of the three populations {0, 0, 14, 14}, {0, 6, 8, 14} and {6, 6, 8, 8} has a mean of 7. Their standard deviations are 7, 5, and 1, respectively. The third population has a much smaller standard deviation than the other two because its values are all close to 7. These standard deviations have the same units as the data points themselves. If, for instance, the data set {0, 6, 8, 14} represents the ages of a population of four siblings in years, the standard deviation is 5 years. As another example, the population {1000, 1006, 1008, 1014} may represent the distances traveled by four athletes, measured in meters. It has a mean of 1007 meters, and a standard deviation of 5 meters. Standard deviation may serve as a measure of uncertainty. In physical science, for example, the reported standard deviation of a group of repeated [[measurement]]s gives the [[accuracy and precision|precision]] of those measurements. When deciding whether measurements agree with a theoretical prediction, the standard deviation of those measurements is of crucial importance: if the mean of the measurements is too far away from the prediction (with the distance measured in standard deviations), then the theory being tested probably needs to be revised. This makes sense since they fall outside the range of values that could reasonably be expected to occur if the prediction were correct and the standard deviation appropriately quantified. See [[prediction interval]]. While the standard deviation does measure how far typical values tend to be from the mean, other measures are available. An example is the [[mean absolute deviation]], which might be considered a more direct measure of average distance, compared to the [[Root-mean-square deviation|root mean square distance]] inherent in the standard deviation. ===Application examples=== The practical value of understanding the standard deviation of a set of values is in appreciating how much variation there is from the average (mean). ====Experiment, industrial and hypothesis testing==== Standard deviation is often used to compare real-world data against a model to test the model. For example, in industrial applications the weight of products coming off a production line may need to comply with a legally required value. By weighing some fraction of the products an average weight can be found, which will always be slightly different from the long-term average. By using standard deviations, a minimum and maximum value can be calculated that the averaged weight will be within some very high percentage of the time (99.9% or more). If it falls outside the range then the production process may need to be corrected. Statistical tests such as these are particularly important when the testing is relatively expensive. For example, if the product needs to be opened and drained and weighed, or if the product was otherwise used up by the test. In experimental science, a theoretical model of reality is used. [[Particle physics]] conventionally uses a standard of "'''5 sigma'''" for the declaration of a discovery. A five-sigma level translates to one chance in 3.5 million that a random fluctuation would yield the result. This level of certainty was required in order to assert that a particle consistent with the [[Higgs boson]] had been discovered in two independent experiments at [[CERN]],<ref>{{cite web |url=http://press-archive.web.cern.ch/press-archive/PressReleases/Releases2012/PR17.12E.html |title=CERN experiments observe particle consistent with long-sought Higgs boson | CERN press office |publisher=Press.web.cern.ch |date=4 July 2012 |access-date=30 May 2015 |archive-date=25 March 2016 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20160325050100/http://press-archive.web.cern.ch/press-archive/PressReleases/Releases2012/PR17.12E.html |url-status=dead }}</ref> also leading to the declaration of the [[first observation of gravitational waves]].<ref>{{Citation|vauthors=((LIGO Scientific Collaboration)), ((Virgo Collaboration))|title=Observation of Gravitational Waves from a Binary Black Hole Merger|journal=Physical Review Letters|volume=116|issue=6|year=2016|pages=061102|doi=10.1103/PhysRevLett.116.061102|arxiv=1602.03837|pmid=26918975|bibcode=2016PhRvL.116f1102A|s2cid=124959784}}</ref> ====Weather==== As a simple example, consider the average daily maximum temperatures for two cities, one inland and one on the coast. It is helpful to understand that the range of daily maximum temperatures for cities near the coast is smaller than for cities inland. Thus, while these two cities may each have the same average maximum temperature, the standard deviation of the daily maximum temperature for the coastal city will be less than that of the inland city as, on any particular day, the actual maximum temperature is more likely to be farther from the average maximum temperature for the inland city than for the coastal one. ====Finance==== In finance, standard deviation is often used as a measure of the [[Risk#Finance|risk]] associated with price-fluctuations of a given asset (stocks, bonds, property, etc.), or the risk of a portfolio of assets<ref>{{cite web|url=http://www.edupristine.com/blog/what-is-standard-deviation |title=What is Standard Deviation |publisher=Pristine |access-date=29 October 2011}}</ref> (actively managed mutual funds, index mutual funds, or ETFs). Risk is an important factor in determining how to efficiently manage a portfolio of investments because it determines the variation in returns on the asset or portfolio and gives investors a mathematical basis for investment decisions (known as [[Modern portfolio theory|mean-variance optimization]]). The fundamental concept of risk is that as it increases, the expected return on an investment should increase as well, an increase known as the risk premium. In other words, investors should expect a higher return on an investment when that investment carries a higher level of risk or uncertainty. When evaluating investments, investors should estimate both the expected return and the uncertainty of future returns. Standard deviation provides a quantified estimate of the uncertainty of future returns. For example, assume an investor had to choose between two stocks. Stock A over the past 20 years had an average return of 10 percent, with a standard deviation of 20 [[percentage point]]s (pp) and Stock B, over the same period, had average returns of 12 percent but a higher standard deviation of 30 pp. On the basis of risk and return, an investor may decide that Stock A is the safer choice, because Stock B's additional two percentage points of return is not worth the additional 10 pp standard deviation (greater risk or uncertainty of the expected return). Stock B is likely to fall short of the initial investment (but also to exceed the initial investment) more often than Stock A under the same circumstances, and is estimated to return only two percent more on average. In this example, Stock A is expected to earn about 10 percent, plus or minus 20 pp (a range of 30 percent to β10 percent), about two-thirds of the future year returns. When considering more extreme possible returns or outcomes in future, an investor should expect results of as much as 10 percent plus or minus 60 pp, or a range from 70 percent to β50 percent, which includes outcomes for three standard deviations from the average return (about 99.7 percent of probable returns). Calculating the average (or arithmetic mean) of the return of a security over a given period will generate the expected return of the asset. For each period, subtracting the expected return from the actual return results in the difference from the mean. Squaring the difference in each period and taking the average gives the overall variance of the return of the asset. The larger the variance, the greater risk the security carries. Finding the square root of this variance will give the standard deviation of the investment tool in question. Financial time series are known to be non-stationary series, whereas the statistical calculations above, such as standard deviation, apply only to stationary series. To apply the above statistical tools to non-stationary series, the series first must be transformed to a stationary series, enabling use of statistical tools that now have a valid basis from which to work. ===Geometric interpretation=== To gain some geometric insights and clarification, we will start with a population of three values, {{math|{{var|x}}{{sub|1}}, {{var|x}}{{sub|2}}, {{var|x}}{{sub|3}}}}. This defines a point {{math|1={{var|P}} = ({{var|x}}{{sub|1}}, {{var|x}}{{sub|2}}, {{var|x}}{{sub|3}})}} in {{math|'''R'''{{sup|3}}}}. Consider the line {{math|1={{var|L}} = {{mset|({{var|r}}, {{var|r}}, {{var|r}}) : {{var|r}} β '''R'''}}}}. This is the "main diagonal" going through the origin. If our three given values were all equal, then the standard deviation would be zero and {{mvar|P}} would lie on {{mvar|L}}. So it is not unreasonable to assume that the standard deviation is related to the ''distance'' of {{mvar|P}} to {{mvar|L}}. That is indeed the case. To move orthogonally from {{mvar|L}} to the point {{mvar|P}}, one begins at the point: <math display="block">M = \left(\bar{x}, \bar{x}, \bar{x}\right)</math> whose coordinates are the mean of the values we started out with. {{Collapse top|title=Derivation of <math>M = \left(\bar{x}, \bar{x}, \bar{x}\right)</math>}} <math>M</math> is on <math>L</math> therefore <math>M = (\ell,\ell,\ell)</math> for some <math>\ell \in \mathbb{R}</math>. The line {{mvar|L}} is to be orthogonal to the vector from {{mvar|M}} to {{mvar|P}}. Therefore: <math display="block">\begin{align} L \cdot (P - M) &= 0 \\[4pt] (r, r, r) \cdot (x_1 - \ell, x_2 - \ell, x_3 - \ell) &= 0 \\[4pt] r(x_1 - \ell + x_2 - \ell + x_3 - \ell) &= 0 \\[4pt] r\left(\sum_i x_i - 3\ell\right) &= 0 \\[4pt] \sum_i x_i - 3\ell &= 0 \\[4pt] \frac{1}{3}\sum_i x_i &= \ell \\[4pt] \bar{x} &= \ell \end{align}</math> {{Collapse bottom}} A little algebra shows that the distance between {{mvar|P}} and {{mvar|M}} (which is the same as the [[orthogonal distance]] between {{mvar|P}} and the line {{mvar|L}}) <math display="inline">\sqrt{\sum_i \left(x_i - \bar{x}\right)^2}</math> is equal to the standard deviation of the vector {{math|({{var|x}}{{sub|1}}, {{var|x}}{{sub|2}}, {{var|x}}{{sub|3}})}}, multiplied by the square root of the number of dimensions of the vector (3 in this case). ===Chebyshev's inequality=== {{main|Chebyshev's inequality}} An observation is rarely more than a few standard deviations away from the mean. Chebyshev's inequality ensures that, for all distributions for which the standard deviation is defined, the amount of data within a number of standard deviations of the mean is at least as much as given in the following table. {|class="wikitable" |- ! Distance from mean !! Minimum population |- | <math>\sqrt{2}\,\sigma</math> || 50% |- | <math>2\sigma</math> || 75% |- | <math>3\sigma</math> || 89% |- | <math>4\sigma</math> || 94% |- | <math>5\sigma</math> || 96% |- | <math>6\sigma</math> || 97% |- | <math>k\sigma</math> || <math>1 - \frac{1}{k^2}</math><ref>{{cite book|last=Ghahramani|first=Saeed|year=2000|title=Fundamentals of Probability|url=https://archive.org/details/fundamentalsprob00ghah_271|url-access=limited|edition=2nd|publisher=Prentice Hall|location=New Jersey|page=[https://archive.org/details/fundamentalsprob00ghah_271/page/n445 438]|isbn=9780130113290 }}</ref> |- | <math>\frac{1}{\sqrt{1 - \ell}}\, \sigma</math> || <math>\ell</math> |} ===Rules for normally distributed data=== [[File:Standard deviation diagram.svg|thumb|Dark blue is one standard deviation on either side of the mean. For the normal distribution, this accounts for 68.27 percent of the set; while two standard deviations from the mean (medium and dark blue) account for 95.45 percent; three standard deviations (light, medium, and dark blue) account for 99.73 percent; and four standard deviations account for 99.994 percent. The two points of the curve that are one standard deviation from the mean are also the [[inflection point]]s.]] The [[central limit theorem]] states that the distribution of an average of many independent, identically distributed random variables tends toward the famous bell-shaped normal distribution with a [[probability density function]] of <math display="block">f\left(x, \mu, \sigma^2\right) = \frac{1}{\sigma\sqrt{2\pi}} e^{-\frac{1}{2}\left(\frac{x - \mu}{\sigma}\right)^2}</math> where {{mvar|ΞΌ}} is the [[expected value]] of the random variables, {{mvar|Ο}} equals their distribution's standard deviation divided by {{math|{{var|n}}{{sup|{{frac|1|2}}}}}}, and {{mvar|n}} is the number of random variables. The standard deviation therefore is simply a scaling variable that adjusts how broad the curve will be, though it also appears in the [[normalizing constant]]. If a data distribution is approximately normal, then the proportion of data values within {{mvar|z}} standard deviations of the mean is defined by: <math display="block">\text{Proportion} = \operatorname{erf}\left(\frac{z}{\sqrt{2}}\right)</math> where <math>\textstyle\operatorname{erf}</math> is the [[error function]]. The proportion that is less than or equal to a number, {{mvar|x}}, is given by the [[cumulative distribution function]]:<ref>{{cite web |url= http://mathworld.wolfram.com/DistributionFunction.html |author= Eric W. Weisstein |title= Distribution Function |work=MathWorld |publisher=Wolfram |access-date= 30 September 2014}}</ref> <math display="block">\text{Proportion} \le x = \frac{1}{2}\left[1 + \operatorname{erf}\left(\frac{x - \mu}{\sigma\sqrt{2}}\right)\right] = \frac{1}{2}\left[1 + \operatorname{erf}\left(\frac{z}{\sqrt{2}}\right)\right].</math> If a data distribution is approximately normal then about 68 percent of the data values are within one standard deviation of the mean (mathematically, {{math|{{var|ΞΌ}} Β± {{var|Ο}}}}, where {{mvar|ΞΌ}} is the arithmetic mean), about 95 percent are within two standard deviations ({{math|{{var|ΞΌ}} Β± 2{{var|Ο}}}}), and about 99.7 percent lie within three standard deviations ({{math|{{var|ΞΌ}} Β± 3{{var|Ο}}}}). This is known as the ''[[68β95β99.7 rule]]'', or ''the empirical rule''. For various values of {{mvar|z}}, the percentage of values expected to lie in and outside the symmetric interval, {{math|{{var|CI}} {{=}} (β{{var|z}}{{var|Ο}}, {{var|z}}{{var|Ο}})}}, are as follows: [[File:Confidence interval by Standard deviation.svg|thumb|Percentage within(''z'')]] [[File:Standard deviation by Confidence interval.svg|thumb|''z''(Percentage within)]] {{anchor|Table}} {| class="wikitable" style="font-size: " |- ! rowspan=2 | Confidence <br />interval ! Proportion within ! colspan=2 | Proportion without |- ! Percentage ! Percentage ! Fraction |- | {{val|0.318639}}{{mvar|Ο}} | 25% | 75% | 3 / 4 |- | {{val|0.674490}}{{mvar|Ο}} | {{val|50}}% | {{val|50}}% | 1 / {{val|2}} |- | {{val|{{#expr:0.97792452561403 round 6}}}}{{mvar|Ο}} | 66.6667% | 33.3333% | 1 / 3 |- | {{val|0.994458}}{{mvar|Ο}} | 68% | 32% | 1 / 3.125 |- | 1{{mvar|Ο}} | {{val|68.2689492}}% | {{val|31.7310508}}% | 1 / {{val|3.1514872}} |- | {{val|1.281552}}{{mvar|Ο}} | 80% | 20% | 1 / 5 |- | {{val|1.644854}}{{mvar|Ο}} | 90% | 10% | 1 / 10 |- | {{val|1.959964}}{{mvar|Ο}} | 95% | 5% | 1 / 20 |- | 2{{mvar|Ο}} | {{val|95.4499736}}% | {{val|4.5500264}}% | 1 / {{val|21.977895}} |- | {{val|2.575829}}{{mvar|Ο}} | 99% | 1% | 1 / 100 |- | 3{{mvar|Ο}} | {{val|99.7300204}}% | {{val|0.2699796}}% | 1 / 370.398 |- | {{val|3.290527}}{{mvar|Ο}} | 99.9% | 0.1% | 1 / {{val|1000}} |- | {{val|3.890592}}{{mvar|Ο}} | 99.99% | 0.01% | 1 / {{val|10000}} |- | 4{{mvar|Ο}} | {{val|99.993666}}% | {{val|0.006334}}% | 1 / {{val|15787}} |- | {{val|4.417173}}{{mvar|Ο}} | 99.999% | 0.001% | 1 / {{val|100000}} |- | {{val|4.5}}{{mvar|Ο}} | {{gaps|99.999|320|465|3751%}} | {{gaps|0.000|679|534|6249%}} | 1 / {{val|147159.5358}}<br />6.8 / {{val|1000000}} |- | {{val|4.891638}}{{mvar|Ο}} | {{val|99.9999}}% | {{val|0.0001}}% | 1 / {{val|1000000}} |- | 5{{mvar|Ο}} | {{val|99.9999426697}}% | {{val|0.0000573303}}% | 1 / {{val|1744278}} |- | {{val|5.326724}}{{mvar|Ο}} | {{val|99.99999}}% | {{val|0.00001}}% | 1 / {{val|10000000}} |- | {{val|5.730729}}{{mvar|Ο}} | {{val|99.999999}}% | {{val|0.000001}}% | 1 / {{val|100000000}} |- | [[Six Sigma#Sigma levels|{{val|6}}{{mvar|Ο}}]] | {{val|99.9999998027}}% | {{val|0.0000001973}}% | 1 / {{val|506797346}} |- | {{val|6.109410}}{{mvar|Ο}} | {{val|99.9999999}}% | {{val|0.0000001}}% | 1 / {{val|1000000000}} |- | {{val|6.466951}}{{mvar|Ο}} | {{val|99.99999999}}% | {{val|0.00000001}}% | 1 / {{val|10000000000}} |- | {{val|6.806502}}{{mvar|Ο}} | {{val|99.999999999}}% | {{val|0.000000001}}% | 1 / {{val|100000000000}} |- | 7{{mvar|Ο}} | {{gaps|99.999|999|999|7440%}} | {{val|0.000000000256}}% | 1 / {{val|390682215445}} |} == Standard deviation matrix == The standard deviation matrix <math>\mathbf{S}</math> is the extension of the standard deviation to multiple dimensions. It is the symmetric square root of the covariance matrix <math>\mathbf{\Sigma}</math>.<ref name="Das">{{cite arXiv |eprint=2012.14331 |last1=Das |first1=Abhranil |author2=Wilson S Geisler |title=Methods to integrate multinormals and compute classification measures |date=2020 |class=stat.ML }}</ref> <math>\mathbf{S}</math> linearly scales a random vector in multiple dimensions in the same way that <math>\sigma</math> does in one dimension. A scalar random variable <math>x</math> with variance <math>\sigma^2</math> can be written as <math>x=\sigma z</math>, where <math>z</math> has unit variance. In the same way, a random vector <math>\boldsymbol{x}</math> in several dimensions with covariance <math>\mathbf{\Sigma}</math> can be written as <math>\boldsymbol{x}=\mathbf{S}\boldsymbol{z}</math>, where <math>\boldsymbol{z}</math> is a normalized variable with identity covariance <math>\mathbf{1}</math>. This requires that <math>\mathbf{S}\mathbf{S'} = \mathbf{\Sigma}</math>. There are then infinite solutions for <math>\mathbf{S}</math>, and consequently there are multiple ways to whiten the distribution.<ref name="kessy">{{cite journal|last1=Kessy|first1=A.|last2=Lewin|first2=A.|last3=Strimmer|first3=K.|title=Optimal whitening and decorrelation|year=2018|journal=The American Statistician| volume=72|issue=4| pages=309β314|doi=10.1080/00031305.2016.1277159|arxiv=1512.00809|s2cid=55075085 }}</ref> The symmetric square root of <math>\mathbf{\Sigma}</math> is one of the solutions. For example, a multivariate normal vector <math>\boldsymbol{x} \sim N(\boldsymbol{\mu}, \mathbf{\Sigma})</math> can be defined as <math>\boldsymbol{x}=\mathbf{S}\boldsymbol{z}+\boldsymbol{\mu}</math>, where <math>\boldsymbol{z} \sim N(\boldsymbol{0}, \mathbf{1})</math> is the multivariate standard normal.<ref name="Das"/> === Properties === * The eigenvectors and eigenvalues of <math>\mathbf{S}</math> correspond to the axes of the 1 sd error ellipsoid of the multivariate normal distribution. See ''[[Multivariate normal distribution#Geometric interpretation|Multivariate normal distribution: geometric interpretation]]''.[[File:MultivariateNormal.png|thumb|The standard deviation ellipse (green) of a two-dimensional normal distribution]] * The standard deviation of the ''projection'' of the multivariate distribution (i.e. the marginal distribution) on to a line in the direction of the unit vector <math>\hat{\boldsymbol{\eta}}</math> equals <math>\sqrt{\hat{\boldsymbol{\eta}}' \mathbf{\Sigma} \hat{\boldsymbol{\eta}}} = \lVert \mathbf{S} \hat{\boldsymbol{\eta}} \rVert</math>.<ref name="Das"/> * The standard deviation of a ''slice'' of the multivariate distribution (i.e. the conditional distribution) along the line in the direction of the unit vector <math>\hat{\boldsymbol{\eta}}</math> equals <math>\frac{1}{\lVert \mathbf{S}^{-1}\hat{\boldsymbol{\eta}} \rVert}</math>.<ref name="Das"/> * The [[Sensitivity index | discriminability index]] between two equal-covariance distributions is their [[Mahalanobis distance]], which can also be expressed in terms of the sd matrix: <math>d'=\sqrt{(\boldsymbol{\mu}_a-\boldsymbol{\mu}_b)'\boldsymbol{\Sigma}^{-1}(\boldsymbol{\mu}_a-\boldsymbol{\mu}_b)} = \lVert \mathbf{S}^{-1}\boldsymbol{d} \rVert</math>, where <math>\boldsymbol{d}=\boldsymbol{\mu}_a-\boldsymbol{\mu}_b</math> is the mean-difference vector.<ref name="Das"/> * Since <math>\mathbf{S}</math> scales a normalized variable, it can be used to invert the transformation, and make it decorrelated and unit-variance: <math>\boldsymbol{z}=\mathbf{S}^{-1} (\boldsymbol{x}-\boldsymbol{\mu})</math> has zero mean and identity covariance. This is called the [[Whitening transformation|Mahalanobis whitening transform]]. ==Relationship between standard deviation and mean== The mean and the standard deviation of a set of data are [[descriptive statistics]] usually reported together. In a certain sense, the standard deviation is a "natural" measure of [[statistical dispersion]] if the center of the data is measured about the mean. This is because the standard deviation from the mean is smaller than from any other point. The precise statement is the following: suppose {{math|{{var|x}}{{sub|1}}, ..., {{var|x}}{{sub|{{var|n}}}}}} are real numbers and define the function: <math display="block">\sigma(r) = \sqrt{\frac{1}{N - 1} \sum_{i=1}^N \left(x_i - r\right)^2}.</math> Using [[calculus]] or by [[completing the square]], it is possible to show that {{math|{{var|Ο}}({{var|r}})}} has a unique minimum at the mean: <math display="block">r = \bar{x}.\,</math> Variability can also be measured by the [[coefficient of variation]], which is the ratio of the standard deviation to the mean. It is a [[dimensionless number]]. ===Standard deviation of the mean=== {{Main|Standard error of the mean}} Often, we want some information about the precision of the mean we obtained. We can obtain this by determining the standard deviation of the sampled mean. Assuming statistical independence of the values in the sample, the standard deviation of the mean is related to the standard deviation of the distribution by: <math display="block">\sigma_\text{mean} = \frac{1}{\sqrt{N}}\sigma</math> where {{mvar|N}} is the number of observations in the sample used to estimate the mean. This can easily be proven with (see [[Variance#Basic properties|basic properties of the variance]]): <math display="block">\begin{align} \operatorname{var}(X) &\equiv \sigma^2_X\\ \operatorname{var}(X_1 + X_2) &\equiv \operatorname{var}(X_1) + \operatorname{var}(X_2)\\ \end{align}</math> (Statistical independence is assumed.) <math display="block">\operatorname{var}(cX_1) \equiv c^2\, \operatorname{var}(X_1)</math> hence <math display="block">\begin{align} \operatorname{var}(\text{mean}) &= \operatorname{var}\left(\frac{1}{N}\sum_{i=1}^N X_i\right) = \frac{1}{N^2} \operatorname{var}\left(\sum_{i=1}^N X_i\right) \\ &= \frac{1}{N^2} \sum_{i=1}^N \operatorname{var}(X_i) = \frac{N}{N^2} \operatorname{var}(X) = \frac{1}{N} \operatorname{var}(X). \end{align}</math> Resulting in: <math display="block">\sigma_\text{mean} = \frac{\sigma}{\sqrt{N}}.</math> In order to estimate the standard deviation of the mean {{math|{{var|Ο}}{{sub|mean}}}} it is necessary to know the standard deviation of the entire population {{mvar|Ο}} beforehand. However, in most applications this parameter is unknown. For example, if a series of 10 measurements of a previously unknown quantity is performed in a laboratory, it is possible to calculate the resulting sample mean and sample standard deviation, but it is impossible to calculate the standard deviation of the mean. However, one can estimate the standard deviation of the entire population from the sample, and thus obtain an estimate for the standard error of the mean. ==Rapid calculation methods== {{See also|Algorithms for calculating variance}} The following two formulas can represent a running (repeatedly updated) standard deviation. A set of two power sums {{math|{{var|s}}{{sub|1}}}} and {{math|{{var|s}}{{sub|2}}}} are computed over a set of {{mvar|N}} values of {{mvar|x}}, denoted as {{math|{{var|x}}{{sub|1}}, ..., {{var|x}}{{sub|{{var|N}}}}}}: <math display="block">s_j = \sum_{k=1}^N{x_k^j}.</math> Given the results of these running summations, the values {{mvar|N}}, {{math|{{var|s}}{{sub|1}}}}, {{math|{{var|s}}{{sub|2}}}} can be used at any time to compute the ''current'' value of the running standard deviation: <math display="block">\sigma = \frac{\sqrt{Ns_2 - s_1^2}}{N}</math> Where {{mvar|N}}, as mentioned above, is the size of the set of values (or can also be regarded as {{math|{{var|s}}{{sub|0}}}}). Similarly for sample standard deviation, <math display="block">s = \sqrt{\frac{Ns_2 - s_1^2}{N(N - 1)}}.</math> In a computer implementation, as the two {{math|{{var|s}}{{sub|{{var|j}}}}}} sums become large, we need to consider [[round-off error]], [[arithmetic overflow]], and [[arithmetic underflow]]. The method below calculates the running sums method with reduced rounding errors.<ref>{{cite journal |last=Welford |first=B. P. |title=Note on a Method for Calculating Corrected Sums of Squares and Products |journal=Technometrics |volume=4 |issue=3 |date=August 1962 |pages=419β420 |doi=10.1080/00401706.1962.10490022|citeseerx=10.1.1.302.7503 }}</ref> This is a "one pass" algorithm for calculating variance of {{mvar|n}} samples without the need to store prior data during the calculation. Applying this method to a time series will result in successive values of standard deviation corresponding to {{mvar|n}} data points as {{mvar|n}} grows larger with each new sample, rather than a constant-width sliding window calculation. For {{math|{{var|k}} {{=}} 1, ..., {{var|n}}}}: <math display="block">\begin{align} A_0 &= 0\\ A_k &= A_{k-1} + \frac{x_k - A_{k-1}}{k} \end{align}</math> where {{mvar|A}} is the mean value. <math display="block">\begin{align} Q_0 &= 0 \\ Q_k &= Q_{k-1} + \frac{k-1}{k} \left(x_k - A_{k-1}\right)^2 = Q_{k-1} + \left(x_k - A_{k-1}\right)\left(x_k - A_k\right) \end{align}</math> Note: {{math|{{var|Q}}{{sub|1}} {{=}} 0}} since {{math|{{var|k}} − 1 {{=}} 0}} or {{math|{{var|x}}{{sub|1}} {{=}} {{var|A}}{{sub|1}}}}. Sample variance: <math display="block">s^2_n = \frac{Q_n}{n - 1}</math> Population variance: <math display="block">\sigma^2_n = \frac{Q_n}{n}</math> ===Weighted calculation=== <!--N.B. the apparently superfluous trailing \0 in the <math> equations prevents conversion of simple formulas to HTML, resulting in more consistent formatting.--> When the values <math>x_k</math> are weighted with unequal weights <math>w_k</math>, the power sums {{math|{{var|s}}{{sub|0}}, {{mvar|s}}{{sub|1}}, {{var|s}}{{sub|2}}}} are each computed as: <math display="block">s_j = \sum_{k=1}^N w_k x_k^j.\,</math> And the standard deviation equations remain unchanged. {{math|{{var|s}}{{sub|0}}}} is now the sum of the weights and not the number of samples {{mvar|N}}. The incremental method with reduced rounding errors can also be applied, with some additional complexity. A running sum of weights must be computed for each {{mvar|k}} from 1 to {{mvar|n}}: <math display="block">\begin{align} W_0 &= 0 \\ W_k &= W_{k-1} + w_k \end{align}</math> and places where {{math|1/{{var|k}}}} is used above must be replaced by <math>w_k/W_k</math>: <math display="block">\begin{align} A_0 &= 0 \\ A_k &= A_{k-1} + \frac{w_k}{W_k}\left(x_k - A_{k-1}\right) \\ Q_0 &= 0 \\ Q_k &= Q_{k-1} + \frac{w_k W_{k-1}}{W_k}\left(x_k -A_{k-1}\right)^2 = Q_{k-1} + w_k\left(x_k-A_{k-1}\right)\left(x_k - A_k\right) \end{align}</math> In the final division, <math display="block">\sigma^2_n = \frac{Q_n}{W_n}\,</math> and <math display="block">s^2_n = \frac{Q_n}{W_n - 1},</math> or <math display="block">s^2_n = \frac{n'}{n' - 1} \sigma^2_n,</math> where {{mvar|n}} is the total number of elements, and {{mvar|{{prime|n}}}} is the number of elements with non-zero weights. The above formulas become equal to the simpler formulas given above if weights are taken as equal to one. ==History== The term ''standard deviation'' was first used in writing by [[Karl Pearson]] in 1894, following his use of it in lectures.<ref>{{Cite book |last=Dodge |first=Yadolah|author-link=Yadolah Dodge |year=2003 |title=The Oxford Dictionary of Statistical Terms |publisher=Oxford University Press |isbn=978-0-19-920613-1 |url-access=registration |url=https://archive.org/details/oxforddictionary0000unse }}</ref><ref>{{Cite journal|last=Pearson |first=Karl |author-link=Karl Pearson |year=1894 |title=On the dissection of asymmetrical frequency curves |journal=[[Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society A]] |volume=185 |pages=71β110|doi=10.1098/rsta.1894.0003|bibcode=1894RSPTA.185...71P |doi-access=free }}</ref> This was as a replacement for earlier alternative names for the same idea: for example, [[Carl Friedrich Gauss|Gauss]] used ''mean error''.<ref>{{cite web|last=Miller |first=Jeff |url=https://mathshistory.st-andrews.ac.uk/Miller/mathword/ |title=Earliest Known Uses of Some of the Words of Mathematics}}</ref> ==Standard deviation index== The standard deviation index (SDI) is used in [[external quality assessment]]s, particularly for [[medical laboratory|medical laboratories]]. It is calculated as:<ref name=Harr2012p236>{{cite book | last=Harr | first=Robert R. | title=Medical laboratory science review | publisher=F. A. Davis Co. | publication-place=Philadelphia | date=2012 | isbn=978-0-8036-3796-2 | oclc=818846942 | page=236}}</ref> <math display="block">\text{SDI} = \frac{\text{Laboratory mean} - \text{Consensus group mean}}{\text{Consensus group standard deviation}}</math> ==Alternatives== Standard deviation is [[algebra]]ically simpler,{{example needed|date=December 2024}} though in practice less [[Robust statistics|robust]], than the [[average absolute deviation]].<ref>{{cite journal | last = Gauss | first = Carl Friedrich | author-link = Carl Friedrich Gauss | title = Bestimmung der Genauigkeit der Beobachtungen | journal = Zeitschrift fΓΌr Astronomie und Verwandte Wissenschaften | volume = 1 | pages = 187β197 | year = 1816 }}</ref><ref>{{cite book | last = Walker | first = Helen |author-link=Helen M. Walker| title = Studies in the History of the Statistical Method | publisher = Williams & Wilkins Co | year = 1931 | location = Baltimore, MD | pages = 24β25 }}</ref> ==See also== {{Portal|Mathematics}} {{div col|colwidth=20em}} * [[68β95β99.7 rule]] * [[Accuracy and precision]] * [[Algorithms for calculating variance]] * [[Chebyshev's inequality]] An inequality on location and scale parameters * [[Coefficient of variation]] * [[Cumulant]] * [[Deviation (statistics)]] * [[Distance correlation]] Distance standard deviation * [[Error bar]] * [[Geometric standard deviation]] * [[Mahalanobis distance]] generalizing number of standard deviations to the mean * [[Mean absolute error]] * [[Median absolute deviation]] * [[Pooled variance]] * [[Propagation of uncertainty]] * [[Percentile]] * [[Raw data]] * [[Reduced chi-squared statistic]] * [[Robust standard deviation]] * [[Root mean square]] * [[Sample size]] * [[Samuelson's inequality]] * [[Six Sigma]] * [[Standard error]] * [[Standard score]] * [[Statistical dispersion]] * [[Yamartino method]] for calculating standard deviation of wind direction {{div col end}} ==References== {{Reflist}} ==External links== {{Commons}} *{{springer|title=Quadratic deviation|id=p/q076030}} *"[https://standard-deviation-calculator.net/ Standard Deviation Calculator]" {{Statistics|descriptive}} {{Authority control}} {{DEFAULTSORT:Standard Deviation}} [[Category:Statistical deviation and dispersion]] [[Category:Summary statistics]]
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