2004 Saxony state election
Template:Short description Template:Infobox election The 2004 Saxony state election was held on 19 September 2004 to elect the members of the 4th Landtag of Saxony. The incumbent Christian Democratic Union (CDU) government led by Minister-President Georg Milbradt lost its majority. The CDU subsequently formed a grand coalition with the Social Democratic Party (SPD), and Milbradt was re-elected as Minister-President.
The Far Right National Democratic Party of Germany (NPD) won 12 seats. This is the first time since the 1960s that the party had seats in a state parliament.
PartiesEdit
The table below lists parties represented in the 3rd Landtag of Saxony.
| Name | Ideology | Leader(s) | 1999 result | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Votes (%) | Seats | |||||
| bgcolor=Template:Party color | | CDU | Christian Democratic Union of Germany Template:Small |
Christian democracy | Georg Milbradt | 56.9% | Template:Composition bar |
| bgcolor=Template:Party color | | PDS | Party of Democratic Socialism Template:Small |
Democratic socialism | Peter Porsch | 22.2% | Template:Composition bar |
| bgcolor=Template:Party color | | SPD | Social Democratic Party of Germany Template:Small |
Social democracy | Thomas Jurk | 10.7% | Template:Composition bar |
Opinion pollingEdit
| Polling firm | Fieldwork date | Sample size |
CDU | PDS | SPD | Grüne | NPD | FDP | Others | Lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| style="background:Template:Party color;"| | style="background:Template:Party color;"| | style="background:Template:Party color;"| | style="background:Template:Party color;"| | style="background:Template:Party color;"| | style="background:Template:Party color;"| | |||||
| 2004 state election | 19 Sep 2004 | – | Template:Party shading/CDU| 41.1 | 23.6 | 9.8 | 5.1 | 9.2 | 5.9 | 5.3 | style="background:Template:Party color;color:#FFFFFF;"| 17.5 |
| IfM Leipzig | 7–9 Sep 2004 | 803 | Template:Party shading/CDU| 44 | 19 | 14 | 7 | 7 | 6 | 3 | style="background:Template:Party color;color:#FFFFFF;"| 25 |
| Forschungsgruppe Wahlen | 6–9 Sep 2004 | 1,035 | Template:Party shading/CDU| 47 | 19 | 11 | 6 | 9 | 4 | 4 | style="background:Template:Party color;color:#FFFFFF;"| 28 |
| Infratest dimap | 2–6 Sep 2004 | 1,000 | Template:Party shading/CDU| 44 | 23 | 12 | 6 | 7 | 5 | 3 | style="background:Template:Party color;color:#FFFFFF;"| 21 |
| Forsa | 31 Aug–4 Sep 2004 | 1,002 | Template:Party shading/CDU| 46 | 24 | 12 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 4 | style="background:Template:Party color;color:#FFFFFF;"| 22 |
| IfM Leipzig | 31 Aug 2004 | 1,006 | Template:Party shading/CDU| 46 | 21 | 12 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 6 | style="background:Template:Party color;color:#FFFFFF;"| 25 |
| Forsa | 16–20 Aug 2004 | 1,007 | Template:Party shading/CDU| 48 | 24 | 11 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 4 | style="background:Template:Party color;color:#FFFFFF;"| 24 |
| IfM Leipzig | 21 Aug 2004 | ? | Template:Party shading/CDU| 48 | 22 | 10 | 6 | 3.5 | 5 | 5.5 | style="background:Template:Party color;color:#FFFFFF;"| 26 |
| IfM Leipzig | 15 Aug 2004 | 810 | Template:Party shading/CDU| 45 | 25 | 10 | 6 | 2 | 6 | 6 | style="background:Template:Party color;color:#FFFFFF;"| 20 |
| Infratest dimap | 30 Jul–3 Aug 2004 | 1,000 | Template:Party shading/CDU| 44 | 25 | 12 | 6 | – | 4.5 | 8.5 | style="background:Template:Party color;color:#FFFFFF;"| 19 |
| IfM Leipzig | 30 Jul 2004 | 808 | Template:Party shading/CDU| 48 | 27 | 12 | 5 | – | 4 | 4 | style="background:Template:Party color;color:#FFFFFF;"| 21 |
| Emnid | 4–8 Jul 2004 | 1,078 | Template:Party shading/CDU| 50 | 23 | 10 | 5 | – | 4 | 8 | style="background:Template:Party color;color:#FFFFFF;"| 27 |
| IfM Leipzig | 17 Jul 2004 | 808 | Template:Party shading/CDU| 54 | 21 | 13 | 5 | – | 3 | 4 | style="background:Template:Party color;color:#FFFFFF;"| 33 |
| IfM Leipzig | 19 May 2004 | 825 | Template:Party shading/CDU| 55 | 18 | 17 | 5 | – | 3 | 2 | style="background:Template:Party color;color:#FFFFFF;"| 37 |
| IfM Leipzig | 5–6 May 2004 | 1,042 | Template:Party shading/CDU| 56 | 17 | 17 | 5 | – | 3 | 2 | style="background:Template:Party color;color:#FFFFFF;"| 39 |
| Emnid | 25 Nov–20 Dec 2003 | 1,100 | Template:Party shading/CDU| 57 | 22 | 12 | 2 | – | 2 | 5 | style="background:Template:Party color;color:#FFFFFF;"| 35 |
| IfM Leipzig | 30 Dec 2003 | 814 | Template:Party shading/CDU| 59 | 18 | 13 | 4 | – | 4 | 2 | style="background:Template:Party color;color:#FFFFFF;"| 41 |
| Emnid | Jun–Jul 2003 | 1,010 | Template:Party shading/CDU| 53 | 22 | 14 | 4 | – | 2 | 5 | style="background:Template:Party color;color:#FFFFFF;"| 31 |
| Emnid | Dec 2002 | 1,056 | Template:Party shading/CDU| 57 | 21 | 13 | 3 | – | 2 | 4 | style="background:Template:Party color;color:#FFFFFF;"| 36 |
| IfM Leipzig | 30 Dec 2002 | 800 | Template:Party shading/CDU| 57 | 20 | 13 | 4 | – | 1 | 5 | style="background:Template:Party color;color:#FFFFFF;"| 37 |
| IfM Leipzig | 7 Mar 2002 | ? | Template:Party shading/CDU| 52 | 21 | 19 | 2 | – | 4 | 2 | style="background:Template:Party color;color:#FFFFFF;"| 31 |
| Emnid | Nov–Dec 2001 | 1,009 | Template:Party shading/CDU| 43 | 25 | 18 | 3 | – | 5 | 6 | style="background:Template:Party color;color:#FFFFFF;"| 18 |
| Emnid | Jun 2001 | 1,023 | Template:Party shading/CDU| 46 | 20 | 22 | 2 | – | 4 | 6 | style="background:Template:Party color;color:#FFFFFF;"| 24 |
| Emnid | Dec 2000 | 1,083 | Template:Party shading/CDU| 47 | 20 | 22 | 3 | – | 3 | 5 | style="background:Template:Party color;color:#FFFFFF;"| 25 |
| Emnid | Jul 2000 | ? | Template:Party shading/CDU| 49 | 21 | 20 | 2 | – | 3 | 5 | style="background:Template:Party color;color:#FFFFFF;"| 28 |
| 1999 state election | 19 Sep 1999 | – | Template:Party shading/CDU| 56.9 | 22.2 | 10.7 | 2.6 | 1.4 | 1.1 | 5.1 | style="background:Template:Party color;color:#FFFFFF;"| 34.7 |
Election resultEdit
Template:Election table |- |colspan=8 align=center| File:SN Landtagswahl 2004.svg |- ! colspan="2" | Party ! Votes ! % ! +/- ! Seats ! +/- ! Seats % |- | bgcolor=Template:Party color| | align=left | Christian Democratic Union (CDU) | align=right| 855,203 | align=right| 41.1 | align=right| Template:Decrease15.8 | align=right| 55 | align=right| Template:Decrease21 | align=right| 44.4 |- | bgcolor=Template:Party color| | align=left | Party of Democratic Socialism (PDS) | align=right| 490,488 | align=right| 23.6 | align=right| Template:Increase1.4 | align=right| 31 | align=right| Template:Increase1 | align=right| 25.0 |- | bgcolor=Template:Party color| | align=left | Social Democratic Party (SPD) | align=right| 204,438 | align=right| 9.8 | align=right| Template:Decrease0.9 | align=right| 13 | align=right| Template:Decrease1 | align=right| 10.5 |- | bgcolor=Template:Party color| | align=left | National Democratic Party (NPD) | align=right| 190,909 | align=right| 9.2 | align=right| Template:Increase7.8 | align=right| 12 | align=right| Template:Increase12 | align=right| 9.7 |- | bgcolor=Template:Party color| | align=left | Free Democratic Party (FDP) | align=right| 122,605 | align=right| 5.9 | align=right| Template:Increase4.8 | align=right| 7 | align=right| Template:Increase7 | align=right| 5.6 |- | bgcolor=Template:Party color| | align=left | Alliance 90/The Greens (Grüne) | align=right| 106,771 | align=right| 5.1 | align=right| Template:Increase2.5 | align=right| 6 | align=right| Template:Increase6 | align=right| 4.8 |- ! colspan=8| |- | bgcolor=Template:Party color| | align=left | Human Environment Animal Protection Party (Tierschutz) | align=right| 34,068 | align=right| 1.6 | align=right| Template:Increase1.6 | align=right| 0 | align=right| ±0 | align=right| 0 |- | bgcolor=Template:Party color| | align=left | Others | align=right| 75,652 | align=right| 3.6 | align=right| | align=right| 0 | align=right| ±0 | align=right| 0 |- ! align=right colspan=2| Total ! align=right| 2,080,135 ! align=right| 100.0 ! align=right| ! align=right| 124 ! align=right| Template:Increase4 ! align=right| |- ! align=right colspan=2| Voter turnout ! align=right| ! align=right| 59.6 ! align=right| Template:Decrease1.5 ! align=right| ! align=right| ! align=right| |} Template:Bar box Template:Bar box
OutcomeEdit
The most striking result of the election was the entrance of the far-right National Democratic Party (NPD) into the Landtag with 12 seats. This gained international attention. The party's support was concentrated in the rural areas; commentators attributed its success to alienation stemming from economic depression. The continuing strength of the SED successor party, the Party of Democratic Socialism, which again was the second largest party, was also notable.
The CDU remained the largest party with 55 of 124 seats, but lost its majority, forcing it to find coalition partners. The most logical was the classical liberal Free Democratic Party, who entered the Landtag in the election, but a CDU–FDP government would be one seat short of the necessary majority. Cooperation with the PDS or The Greens was ideologically unfeasible. A theoretical alliance between the CDU and NPD would hold a majority, but this was out of the question. The result was a grand coalition CDU and SPD. This government outcome was later mirrored in the 2005 federal election. The CDU's Georg Milbradt remained in office as Minister-President. Notably, the NPD received two more votes on the ballot for Minister-President than it had members in the Landtag. It is presumed that two CDU Landtag members backed the NPD as a protest against the grand coalition.